Massachusetts's strong Democratic lean and incumbent Maura Healey's re-election bid underpin the market's overwhelming preference for a Democratic winner. Polling consistently shows Healey leading prospective Republican opponents by 20–30 points in a state that favored Democrats by more than 25 points in the 2024 presidential contest. Upcoming September primaries will narrow the field among Republican contenders including Mike Kennealy, Brian Shortsleeve, and Michael Minogue, yet general-election forecasts remain unchanged. Trader consensus aligns with historical patterns of Democratic gubernatorial success and limited recent shifts in voter sentiment. Late developments that could narrow the gap include an unusually strong Republican nominee, a significant scandal or policy reversal affecting Healey, or a broader national partisan realignment before November 2026.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$35,843 거래량
$35,843 거래량
2026.11.03
민주당
95%
공화당
5%
$35,843 거래량
$35,843 거래량
2026.11.03
민주당
$18,299 거래량
95%
공화당
$17,545 거래량
5%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Massachusetts gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Massachusetts's strong Democratic lean and incumbent Maura Healey's re-election bid underpin the market's overwhelming preference for a Democratic winner. Polling consistently shows Healey leading prospective Republican opponents by 20–30 points in a state that favored Democrats by more than 25 points in the 2024 presidential contest. Upcoming September primaries will narrow the field among Republican contenders including Mike Kennealy, Brian Shortsleeve, and Michael Minogue, yet general-election forecasts remain unchanged. Trader consensus aligns with historical patterns of Democratic gubernatorial success and limited recent shifts in voter sentiment. Late developments that could narrow the gap include an unusually strong Republican nominee, a significant scandal or policy reversal affecting Healey, or a broader national partisan realignment before November 2026.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Massachusetts gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
마켓 개설일: Oct 13, 2025, 6:29 PM ET
거래량
$35,843종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Oct 13, 2025, 6:29 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Massachusetts gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Massachusetts's strong Democratic lean and incumbent Maura Healey's re-election bid underpin the market's overwhelming preference for a Democratic winner. Polling consistently shows Healey leading prospective Republican opponents by 20–30 points in a state that favored Democrats by more than 25 points in the 2024 presidential contest. Upcoming September primaries will narrow the field among Republican contenders including Mike Kennealy, Brian Shortsleeve, and Michael Minogue, yet general-election forecasts remain unchanged. Trader consensus aligns with historical patterns of Democratic gubernatorial success and limited recent shifts in voter sentiment. Late developments that could narrow the gap include an unusually strong Republican nominee, a significant scandal or policy reversal affecting Healey, or a broader national partisan realignment before November 2026.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Massachusetts gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
거래량
$35,843종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Oct 13, 2025, 6:29 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Massachusetts's strong Democratic lean and incumbent Maura Healey's re-election bid underpin the market's overwhelming preference for a Democratic winner. Polling consistently shows Healey leading prospective Republican opponents by 20–30 points in a state that favored Democrats by more than 25 points in the 2024 presidential contest. Upcoming September primaries will narrow the field among Republican contenders including Mike Kennealy, Brian Shortsleeve, and Michael Minogue, yet general-election forecasts remain unchanged. Trader consensus aligns with historical patterns of Democratic gubernatorial success and limited recent shifts in voter sentiment. Late developments that could narrow the gap include an unusually strong Republican nominee, a significant scandal or policy reversal affecting Healey, or a broader national partisan realignment before November 2026.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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