Mississippi's 3rd congressional district maintains a strong Republican tilt reflected in its partisan voting index and historical election margins, supporting trader consensus that favors the Republican nominee at 93.5 percent. Incumbent Michael Guest advanced through the March 2026 primary without significant opposition and faces Democratic nominee Michael Chiaradio in the November general election. The district's east-central Mississippi composition, including Jackson suburbs and Meridian, has consistently delivered large Republican majorities in recent cycles. With five months remaining until November 3, 2026, limited Democratic infrastructure and fundraising in the area reinforce the current positioning. A major scandal involving the Republican candidate or an unanticipated national political shift could narrow the gap, though such developments remain low-probability based on available indicators.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$31,139 거래량
$31,139 거래량
2026.11.03
공화당
94%
민주당
5%
$31,139 거래량
$31,139 거래량
2026.11.03
공화당
$8,585 거래량
94%
민주당
$22,554 거래량
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Mississippi's 3rd congressional district maintains a strong Republican tilt reflected in its partisan voting index and historical election margins, supporting trader consensus that favors the Republican nominee at 93.5 percent. Incumbent Michael Guest advanced through the March 2026 primary without significant opposition and faces Democratic nominee Michael Chiaradio in the November general election. The district's east-central Mississippi composition, including Jackson suburbs and Meridian, has consistently delivered large Republican majorities in recent cycles. With five months remaining until November 3, 2026, limited Democratic infrastructure and fundraising in the area reinforce the current positioning. A major scandal involving the Republican candidate or an unanticipated national political shift could narrow the gap, though such developments remain low-probability based on available indicators.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
거래량
$31,139종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Mississippi's 3rd congressional district maintains a strong Republican tilt reflected in its partisan voting index and historical election margins, supporting trader consensus that favors the Republican nominee at 93.5 percent. Incumbent Michael Guest advanced through the March 2026 primary without significant opposition and faces Democratic nominee Michael Chiaradio in the November general election. The district's east-central Mississippi composition, including Jackson suburbs and Meridian, has consistently delivered large Republican majorities in recent cycles. With five months remaining until November 3, 2026, limited Democratic infrastructure and fundraising in the area reinforce the current positioning. A major scandal involving the Republican candidate or an unanticipated national political shift could narrow the gap, though such developments remain low-probability based on available indicators.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$31,139종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Mississippi's 3rd congressional district maintains a strong Republican tilt reflected in its partisan voting index and historical election margins, supporting trader consensus that favors the Republican nominee at 93.5 percent. Incumbent Michael Guest advanced through the March 2026 primary without significant opposition and faces Democratic nominee Michael Chiaradio in the November general election. The district's east-central Mississippi composition, including Jackson suburbs and Meridian, has consistently delivered large Republican majorities in recent cycles. With five months remaining until November 3, 2026, limited Democratic infrastructure and fundraising in the area reinforce the current positioning. A major scandal involving the Republican candidate or an unanticipated national political shift could narrow the gap, though such developments remain low-probability based on available indicators.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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