Kentucky’s 6th congressional district, centered on Lexington and surrounding central Kentucky counties, features an open seat after longtime Republican incumbent Andy Barr won the GOP Senate primary and stepped aside. Republican nominee Ralph Alvarado, a former state senator, faces Democratic nominee Zach Dembo, a former federal prosecutor, in the November 3 general election. The district’s consistent Republican lean, demonstrated by prior double-digit margins, underpins the current trader consensus favoring the Republican Party at 53.5 percent. Recent primary results and the seat’s structural partisan advantage have reinforced this positioning while leaving room for Democratic gains in the more urban Lexington area.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$26,164 거래량
$26,164 거래량
2026.11.03
공화당
51%
민주당
38%
$26,164 거래량
$26,164 거래량
2026.11.03
공화당
$10,034 거래량
51%
민주당
$16,130 거래량
38%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Kentucky’s 6th congressional district, centered on Lexington and surrounding central Kentucky counties, features an open seat after longtime Republican incumbent Andy Barr won the GOP Senate primary and stepped aside. Republican nominee Ralph Alvarado, a former state senator, faces Democratic nominee Zach Dembo, a former federal prosecutor, in the November 3 general election. The district’s consistent Republican lean, demonstrated by prior double-digit margins, underpins the current trader consensus favoring the Republican Party at 53.5 percent. Recent primary results and the seat’s structural partisan advantage have reinforced this positioning while leaving room for Democratic gains in the more urban Lexington area.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
거래량
$26,164종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Kentucky’s 6th congressional district, centered on Lexington and surrounding central Kentucky counties, features an open seat after longtime Republican incumbent Andy Barr won the GOP Senate primary and stepped aside. Republican nominee Ralph Alvarado, a former state senator, faces Democratic nominee Zach Dembo, a former federal prosecutor, in the November 3 general election. The district’s consistent Republican lean, demonstrated by prior double-digit margins, underpins the current trader consensus favoring the Republican Party at 53.5 percent. Recent primary results and the seat’s structural partisan advantage have reinforced this positioning while leaving room for Democratic gains in the more urban Lexington area.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$26,164종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Kentucky’s 6th congressional district, centered on Lexington and surrounding central Kentucky counties, features an open seat after longtime Republican incumbent Andy Barr won the GOP Senate primary and stepped aside. Republican nominee Ralph Alvarado, a former state senator, faces Democratic nominee Zach Dembo, a former federal prosecutor, in the November 3 general election. The district’s consistent Republican lean, demonstrated by prior double-digit margins, underpins the current trader consensus favoring the Republican Party at 53.5 percent. Recent primary results and the seat’s structural partisan advantage have reinforced this positioning while leaving room for Democratic gains in the more urban Lexington area.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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