Pennsylvania's 13th congressional district carries a strong Republican tilt, reflected in its R+23 partisan voter index and consistent support in recent presidential cycles. Incumbent John Joyce secured the Republican nomination without significant opposition in the May 2026 primary, while Democrat Beth Farnham advanced on the other side. Forecasters rate the seat as solid or safe Republican, aligning with trader consensus that places the Republican Party at 93.5 percent. The district's voting patterns and Joyce's incumbency create substantial structural barriers for challengers. Late-cycle national shifts in voter sentiment, unexpected candidate controversies, or unusually high turnout among Democratic-leaning groups represent the main variables that could narrow the gap before the November 2026 general election.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트신규
신규
2026.11.03
Republican Party
94%
Democratic Party
6%
신규
신규
2026.11.03
Republican Party
$8,858 거래량
94%
Democratic Party
$565 거래량
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Pennsylvania's 13th congressional district carries a strong Republican tilt, reflected in its R+23 partisan voter index and consistent support in recent presidential cycles. Incumbent John Joyce secured the Republican nomination without significant opposition in the May 2026 primary, while Democrat Beth Farnham advanced on the other side. Forecasters rate the seat as solid or safe Republican, aligning with trader consensus that places the Republican Party at 93.5 percent. The district's voting patterns and Joyce's incumbency create substantial structural barriers for challengers. Late-cycle national shifts in voter sentiment, unexpected candidate controversies, or unusually high turnout among Democratic-leaning groups represent the main variables that could narrow the gap before the November 2026 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
거래량
$9,423종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Pennsylvania's 13th congressional district carries a strong Republican tilt, reflected in its R+23 partisan voter index and consistent support in recent presidential cycles. Incumbent John Joyce secured the Republican nomination without significant opposition in the May 2026 primary, while Democrat Beth Farnham advanced on the other side. Forecasters rate the seat as solid or safe Republican, aligning with trader consensus that places the Republican Party at 93.5 percent. The district's voting patterns and Joyce's incumbency create substantial structural barriers for challengers. Late-cycle national shifts in voter sentiment, unexpected candidate controversies, or unusually high turnout among Democratic-leaning groups represent the main variables that could narrow the gap before the November 2026 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$9,423종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Pennsylvania's 13th congressional district carries a strong Republican tilt, reflected in its R+23 partisan voter index and consistent support in recent presidential cycles. Incumbent John Joyce secured the Republican nomination without significant opposition in the May 2026 primary, while Democrat Beth Farnham advanced on the other side. Forecasters rate the seat as solid or safe Republican, aligning with trader consensus that places the Republican Party at 93.5 percent. The district's voting patterns and Joyce's incumbency create substantial structural barriers for challengers. Late-cycle national shifts in voter sentiment, unexpected candidate controversies, or unusually high turnout among Democratic-leaning groups represent the main variables that could narrow the gap before the November 2026 general election.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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