Incumbent Republican Rep. John Joyce's strong reelection bid, bolstered by a January endorsement from President Trump, drives trader consensus favoring the Republican Party at 92.5% in Pennsylvania's 13th Congressional District, a solidly Republican seat with a Cook PVI of R+23. Joyce dominated the 2024 general election with 74% against Democratic challenger Beth Farnham, who is running again amid a vast fundraising gap—Joyce holds over $3 million cash on hand versus Farnham's $16,000. With uncompetitive May 19 primaries ahead and no polls signaling a contest, historical base rates in deep-red districts cement the outlook. Upsets would require a major scandal, health event, or extraordinary national Democratic wave.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트신규
신규
2026.11.03
Republican Party
93%
Democratic Party
6%
신규
신규
2026.11.03
Republican Party
$424 거래량
93%
Democratic Party
$0 거래량
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Rep. John Joyce's strong reelection bid, bolstered by a January endorsement from President Trump, drives trader consensus favoring the Republican Party at 92.5% in Pennsylvania's 13th Congressional District, a solidly Republican seat with a Cook PVI of R+23. Joyce dominated the 2024 general election with 74% against Democratic challenger Beth Farnham, who is running again amid a vast fundraising gap—Joyce holds over $3 million cash on hand versus Farnham's $16,000. With uncompetitive May 19 primaries ahead and no polls signaling a contest, historical base rates in deep-red districts cement the outlook. Upsets would require a major scandal, health event, or extraordinary national Democratic wave.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
거래량
$424종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Rep. John Joyce's strong reelection bid, bolstered by a January endorsement from President Trump, drives trader consensus favoring the Republican Party at 92.5% in Pennsylvania's 13th Congressional District, a solidly Republican seat with a Cook PVI of R+23. Joyce dominated the 2024 general election with 74% against Democratic challenger Beth Farnham, who is running again amid a vast fundraising gap—Joyce holds over $3 million cash on hand versus Farnham's $16,000. With uncompetitive May 19 primaries ahead and no polls signaling a contest, historical base rates in deep-red districts cement the outlook. Upsets would require a major scandal, health event, or extraordinary national Democratic wave.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$424종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Rep. John Joyce's strong reelection bid, bolstered by a January endorsement from President Trump, drives trader consensus favoring the Republican Party at 92.5% in Pennsylvania's 13th Congressional District, a solidly Republican seat with a Cook PVI of R+23. Joyce dominated the 2024 general election with 74% against Democratic challenger Beth Farnham, who is running again amid a vast fundraising gap—Joyce holds over $3 million cash on hand versus Farnham's $16,000. With uncompetitive May 19 primaries ahead and no polls signaling a contest, historical base rates in deep-red districts cement the outlook. Upsets would require a major scandal, health event, or extraordinary national Democratic wave.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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