Tennessee's 6th congressional district maintains a strong Republican tilt, reinforced by the state's May 2026 redistricting that shifted boundaries to include more conservative suburban and rural areas while Trump carried the revised map by 27 points. Incumbent John Rose's decision to run for governor created an open seat, yet multiple Republican primary candidates including state Rep. Johnny Garrett and former Rep. Van Hilleary have filed, while Democratic contenders remain limited ahead of the August 6 primary. Forecasters rate the race solid or safe Republican, reflecting consistent historical voting patterns and modest Democratic organization in the district. Late shifts could occur only through an unusually strong Democratic nominee or major national wave, though current conditions point to continued GOP dominance in November.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트신규
신규
2026.11.03
Republican Party
93%
Democratic Party
7%
신규
신규
2026.11.03
Republican Party
$4,995 거래량
93%
Democratic Party
$1,097 거래량
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Tennessee's 6th congressional district maintains a strong Republican tilt, reinforced by the state's May 2026 redistricting that shifted boundaries to include more conservative suburban and rural areas while Trump carried the revised map by 27 points. Incumbent John Rose's decision to run for governor created an open seat, yet multiple Republican primary candidates including state Rep. Johnny Garrett and former Rep. Van Hilleary have filed, while Democratic contenders remain limited ahead of the August 6 primary. Forecasters rate the race solid or safe Republican, reflecting consistent historical voting patterns and modest Democratic organization in the district. Late shifts could occur only through an unusually strong Democratic nominee or major national wave, though current conditions point to continued GOP dominance in November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
거래량
$6,092종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Tennessee's 6th congressional district maintains a strong Republican tilt, reinforced by the state's May 2026 redistricting that shifted boundaries to include more conservative suburban and rural areas while Trump carried the revised map by 27 points. Incumbent John Rose's decision to run for governor created an open seat, yet multiple Republican primary candidates including state Rep. Johnny Garrett and former Rep. Van Hilleary have filed, while Democratic contenders remain limited ahead of the August 6 primary. Forecasters rate the race solid or safe Republican, reflecting consistent historical voting patterns and modest Democratic organization in the district. Late shifts could occur only through an unusually strong Democratic nominee or major national wave, though current conditions point to continued GOP dominance in November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$6,092종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Tennessee's 6th congressional district maintains a strong Republican tilt, reinforced by the state's May 2026 redistricting that shifted boundaries to include more conservative suburban and rural areas while Trump carried the revised map by 27 points. Incumbent John Rose's decision to run for governor created an open seat, yet multiple Republican primary candidates including state Rep. Johnny Garrett and former Rep. Van Hilleary have filed, while Democratic contenders remain limited ahead of the August 6 primary. Forecasters rate the race solid or safe Republican, reflecting consistent historical voting patterns and modest Democratic organization in the district. Late shifts could occur only through an unusually strong Democratic nominee or major national wave, though current conditions point to continued GOP dominance in November.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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