Tennessee's 6th Congressional District remains heavily Republican-leaning after May 2026 redistricting that strengthened the GOP tilt, with the revised map delivering a 27-point Trump margin in the prior cycle. The seat opened after incumbent John Rose launched a gubernatorial bid, drawing multiple Republican primary contenders while Democrats field a crowded but under-resourced slate ahead of their August primary. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting the district's consistent partisan voting index and limited Democratic infrastructure in the suburban Nashville and Middle Tennessee counties. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with historical base rates for similarly rated open seats in the state. A national Democratic surge or late primary upset could narrow the gap, though structural factors would still require an unusually large swing to overcome.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트신규
신규
2026.11.03
Republican Party
93%
Democratic Party
7%
신규
신규
2026.11.03
Republican Party
$4,992 거래량
93%
Democratic Party
$1,097 거래량
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Tennessee's 6th Congressional District remains heavily Republican-leaning after May 2026 redistricting that strengthened the GOP tilt, with the revised map delivering a 27-point Trump margin in the prior cycle. The seat opened after incumbent John Rose launched a gubernatorial bid, drawing multiple Republican primary contenders while Democrats field a crowded but under-resourced slate ahead of their August primary. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting the district's consistent partisan voting index and limited Democratic infrastructure in the suburban Nashville and Middle Tennessee counties. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with historical base rates for similarly rated open seats in the state. A national Democratic surge or late primary upset could narrow the gap, though structural factors would still require an unusually large swing to overcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
거래량
$6,089종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Tennessee's 6th Congressional District remains heavily Republican-leaning after May 2026 redistricting that strengthened the GOP tilt, with the revised map delivering a 27-point Trump margin in the prior cycle. The seat opened after incumbent John Rose launched a gubernatorial bid, drawing multiple Republican primary contenders while Democrats field a crowded but under-resourced slate ahead of their August primary. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting the district's consistent partisan voting index and limited Democratic infrastructure in the suburban Nashville and Middle Tennessee counties. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with historical base rates for similarly rated open seats in the state. A national Democratic surge or late primary upset could narrow the gap, though structural factors would still require an unusually large swing to overcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$6,089종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Tennessee's 6th Congressional District remains heavily Republican-leaning after May 2026 redistricting that strengthened the GOP tilt, with the revised map delivering a 27-point Trump margin in the prior cycle. The seat opened after incumbent John Rose launched a gubernatorial bid, drawing multiple Republican primary contenders while Democrats field a crowded but under-resourced slate ahead of their August primary. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting the district's consistent partisan voting index and limited Democratic infrastructure in the suburban Nashville and Middle Tennessee counties. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with historical base rates for similarly rated open seats in the state. A national Democratic surge or late primary upset could narrow the gap, though structural factors would still require an unusually large swing to overcome.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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