Tennessee's 6th Congressional District, an open seat after incumbent John Rose's gubernatorial bid, features a Cook PVI of R+17, ranking among the nation's safest Republican districts with historical GOP margins exceeding 65% in recent cycles. Trader consensus at 92% for a Republican winner reflects dominant Republican primary fundraising—state Rep. Johnny Garrett ($1.05 million cash on hand) and former Rep. Van Hilleary ($727,000)—versus Democrats' modest totals under $30,000 across candidates like Lore Bergman, Mike Croley, and Chaney Mosley. Post-March 10 filing deadline, no polling emerged, but structural advantages and weak Democratic recruitment solidify the tilt. Primary on August 6 could yield a strong nominee; upset scenarios require GOP scandal, nominee withdrawal, or extraordinary national Democratic wave.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트신규
신규
2026.11.03
Republican Party
92%
Democratic Party
7%
신규
신규
2026.11.03
Republican Party
$4,361 거래량
92%
Democratic Party
$0 거래량
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Tennessee's 6th Congressional District, an open seat after incumbent John Rose's gubernatorial bid, features a Cook PVI of R+17, ranking among the nation's safest Republican districts with historical GOP margins exceeding 65% in recent cycles. Trader consensus at 92% for a Republican winner reflects dominant Republican primary fundraising—state Rep. Johnny Garrett ($1.05 million cash on hand) and former Rep. Van Hilleary ($727,000)—versus Democrats' modest totals under $30,000 across candidates like Lore Bergman, Mike Croley, and Chaney Mosley. Post-March 10 filing deadline, no polling emerged, but structural advantages and weak Democratic recruitment solidify the tilt. Primary on August 6 could yield a strong nominee; upset scenarios require GOP scandal, nominee withdrawal, or extraordinary national Democratic wave.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
거래량
$4,361종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Tennessee's 6th Congressional District, an open seat after incumbent John Rose's gubernatorial bid, features a Cook PVI of R+17, ranking among the nation's safest Republican districts with historical GOP margins exceeding 65% in recent cycles. Trader consensus at 92% for a Republican winner reflects dominant Republican primary fundraising—state Rep. Johnny Garrett ($1.05 million cash on hand) and former Rep. Van Hilleary ($727,000)—versus Democrats' modest totals under $30,000 across candidates like Lore Bergman, Mike Croley, and Chaney Mosley. Post-March 10 filing deadline, no polling emerged, but structural advantages and weak Democratic recruitment solidify the tilt. Primary on August 6 could yield a strong nominee; upset scenarios require GOP scandal, nominee withdrawal, or extraordinary national Democratic wave.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$4,361종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Tennessee's 6th Congressional District, an open seat after incumbent John Rose's gubernatorial bid, features a Cook PVI of R+17, ranking among the nation's safest Republican districts with historical GOP margins exceeding 65% in recent cycles. Trader consensus at 92% for a Republican winner reflects dominant Republican primary fundraising—state Rep. Johnny Garrett ($1.05 million cash on hand) and former Rep. Van Hilleary ($727,000)—versus Democrats' modest totals under $30,000 across candidates like Lore Bergman, Mike Croley, and Chaney Mosley. Post-March 10 filing deadline, no polling emerged, but structural advantages and weak Democratic recruitment solidify the tilt. Primary on August 6 could yield a strong nominee; upset scenarios require GOP scandal, nominee withdrawal, or extraordinary national Democratic wave.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
자주 묻는 질문