Incumbent Democrat Gabe Amo commands trader consensus at 91.5% for reelection in Rhode Island's 1st Congressional District, a Cook PVI D+12 stronghold covering Providence and surrounding areas, buoyed by his prior double-digit victories—63% in the 2024 general and 65% in the 2023 special—against underfunded Republicans like Allen Waters. No credible GOP challenger has emerged amid the early cycle, with filing deadline looming June 24 and primaries September 8, underscoring the district's historical Democratic dominance and incumbency edge. Absent recent catalysts, odds reflect skin-in-the-game assessment of base rates for safe seats; shifts could arise from a high-profile Republican recruit, Amo primary upset, personal scandal, health issue, or national midterm wave favoring the GOP ahead of the November 3 general.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트신규
신규
2026.11.03
Democratic Party
92%
Republican Party
7%
신규
신규
2026.11.03
Democratic Party
$1,553 거래량
92%
Republican Party
$859 거래량
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the RI-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Gabe Amo commands trader consensus at 91.5% for reelection in Rhode Island's 1st Congressional District, a Cook PVI D+12 stronghold covering Providence and surrounding areas, buoyed by his prior double-digit victories—63% in the 2024 general and 65% in the 2023 special—against underfunded Republicans like Allen Waters. No credible GOP challenger has emerged amid the early cycle, with filing deadline looming June 24 and primaries September 8, underscoring the district's historical Democratic dominance and incumbency edge. Absent recent catalysts, odds reflect skin-in-the-game assessment of base rates for safe seats; shifts could arise from a high-profile Republican recruit, Amo primary upset, personal scandal, health issue, or national midterm wave favoring the GOP ahead of the November 3 general.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the RI-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
거래량
$2,412종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the RI-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Gabe Amo commands trader consensus at 91.5% for reelection in Rhode Island's 1st Congressional District, a Cook PVI D+12 stronghold covering Providence and surrounding areas, buoyed by his prior double-digit victories—63% in the 2024 general and 65% in the 2023 special—against underfunded Republicans like Allen Waters. No credible GOP challenger has emerged amid the early cycle, with filing deadline looming June 24 and primaries September 8, underscoring the district's historical Democratic dominance and incumbency edge. Absent recent catalysts, odds reflect skin-in-the-game assessment of base rates for safe seats; shifts could arise from a high-profile Republican recruit, Amo primary upset, personal scandal, health issue, or national midterm wave favoring the GOP ahead of the November 3 general.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the RI-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$2,412종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Gabe Amo commands trader consensus at 91.5% for reelection in Rhode Island's 1st Congressional District, a Cook PVI D+12 stronghold covering Providence and surrounding areas, buoyed by his prior double-digit victories—63% in the 2024 general and 65% in the 2023 special—against underfunded Republicans like Allen Waters. No credible GOP challenger has emerged amid the early cycle, with filing deadline looming June 24 and primaries September 8, underscoring the district's historical Democratic dominance and incumbency edge. Absent recent catalysts, odds reflect skin-in-the-game assessment of base rates for safe seats; shifts could arise from a high-profile Republican recruit, Amo primary upset, personal scandal, health issue, or national midterm wave favoring the GOP ahead of the November 3 general.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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