Incumbent Barry Loudermilk's February 2026 retirement opened Georgia's 11th Congressional District, an R+12 seat per Cook Partisan Voting Index where Republicans captured 61% in the 2024 presidential race and won the 2024 House contest by 34 points, but trader consensus still prices Republicans at 86% to hold it. The crowded Republican primary—featuring eight candidates including fundraiser Lisa Carlquist ($223,000 raised) and recent entrant Tricia Pridemore—contrasts with Democrats' thin field of Chris Harden and Barry Wolfert, whose combined fundraising totals under $33,000 signal limited competitiveness. Ratings from Cook (Solid Republican) and others reinforce the GOP's structural edge ahead of the May 19 primary and November general election.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Republican Party
86%
Democratic Party
14%
Republican Party
86%
Democratic Party
14%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Barry Loudermilk's February 2026 retirement opened Georgia's 11th Congressional District, an R+12 seat per Cook Partisan Voting Index where Republicans captured 61% in the 2024 presidential race and won the 2024 House contest by 34 points, but trader consensus still prices Republicans at 86% to hold it. The crowded Republican primary—featuring eight candidates including fundraiser Lisa Carlquist ($223,000 raised) and recent entrant Tricia Pridemore—contrasts with Democrats' thin field of Chris Harden and Barry Wolfert, whose combined fundraising totals under $33,000 signal limited competitiveness. Ratings from Cook (Solid Republican) and others reinforce the GOP's structural edge ahead of the May 19 primary and November general election.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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