Georgia's 11th congressional district carries an R+12 Cook Partisan Voter Index and has consistently supported Republican candidates by double-digit margins in recent cycles, including the incumbent's 2024 victory by over 30 points. Barry Loudermilk's retirement created an open seat, yet primary results from May 19 showed Republican nominee John Cowan advancing and Democrat Chris Harden securing the opposing nomination without notable crossover strength. Forecasters at the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball have maintained Solid or Safe Republican ratings, reflecting limited Democratic path-to-victory even in a midterm environment. With the November 3 general election roughly five months away, trader pricing at 82% Republican reflects the district's structural lean and absence of competitive polling shifts or major developments that would alter the implied probability.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트신규
신규
2026.11.03
Republican Party
82%
Democratic Party
18%
신규
신규
2026.11.03
Republican Party
$4,023 거래량
82%
Democratic Party
$3,250 거래량
18%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Georgia's 11th congressional district carries an R+12 Cook Partisan Voter Index and has consistently supported Republican candidates by double-digit margins in recent cycles, including the incumbent's 2024 victory by over 30 points. Barry Loudermilk's retirement created an open seat, yet primary results from May 19 showed Republican nominee John Cowan advancing and Democrat Chris Harden securing the opposing nomination without notable crossover strength. Forecasters at the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball have maintained Solid or Safe Republican ratings, reflecting limited Democratic path-to-victory even in a midterm environment. With the November 3 general election roughly five months away, trader pricing at 82% Republican reflects the district's structural lean and absence of competitive polling shifts or major developments that would alter the implied probability.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
거래량
$7,273종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Georgia's 11th congressional district carries an R+12 Cook Partisan Voter Index and has consistently supported Republican candidates by double-digit margins in recent cycles, including the incumbent's 2024 victory by over 30 points. Barry Loudermilk's retirement created an open seat, yet primary results from May 19 showed Republican nominee John Cowan advancing and Democrat Chris Harden securing the opposing nomination without notable crossover strength. Forecasters at the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball have maintained Solid or Safe Republican ratings, reflecting limited Democratic path-to-victory even in a midterm environment. With the November 3 general election roughly five months away, trader pricing at 82% Republican reflects the district's structural lean and absence of competitive polling shifts or major developments that would alter the implied probability.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$7,273종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Georgia's 11th congressional district carries an R+12 Cook Partisan Voter Index and has consistently supported Republican candidates by double-digit margins in recent cycles, including the incumbent's 2024 victory by over 30 points. Barry Loudermilk's retirement created an open seat, yet primary results from May 19 showed Republican nominee John Cowan advancing and Democrat Chris Harden securing the opposing nomination without notable crossover strength. Forecasters at the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball have maintained Solid or Safe Republican ratings, reflecting limited Democratic path-to-victory even in a midterm environment. With the November 3 general election roughly five months away, trader pricing at 82% Republican reflects the district's structural lean and absence of competitive polling shifts or major developments that would alter the implied probability.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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