Georgia's 11th congressional district, an open seat following the retirement of longtime Republican incumbent Barry Loudermilk, features a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+12 and northern Atlanta exurban territory that has consistently supported GOP candidates. The May 2026 Republican primary advanced John Cowan and Rob Adkerson to a June 16 runoff, while Democrat Chris Harden secured his party's nomination. Traders assign the Republican nominee an 82% implied probability of victory in the November 3 general election, reflecting the district's established voting patterns, limited Democratic infrastructure, and absence of competitive polling signals or external factors that would narrow the gap. The outcome remains subject to standard midterm turnout dynamics.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트신규
신규
2026.11.03
Republican Party
82%
Democratic Party
18%
신규
신규
2026.11.03
Republican Party
$4,023 거래량
82%
Democratic Party
$3,250 거래량
18%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Georgia's 11th congressional district, an open seat following the retirement of longtime Republican incumbent Barry Loudermilk, features a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+12 and northern Atlanta exurban territory that has consistently supported GOP candidates. The May 2026 Republican primary advanced John Cowan and Rob Adkerson to a June 16 runoff, while Democrat Chris Harden secured his party's nomination. Traders assign the Republican nominee an 82% implied probability of victory in the November 3 general election, reflecting the district's established voting patterns, limited Democratic infrastructure, and absence of competitive polling signals or external factors that would narrow the gap. The outcome remains subject to standard midterm turnout dynamics.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
거래량
$7,273종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Georgia's 11th congressional district, an open seat following the retirement of longtime Republican incumbent Barry Loudermilk, features a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+12 and northern Atlanta exurban territory that has consistently supported GOP candidates. The May 2026 Republican primary advanced John Cowan and Rob Adkerson to a June 16 runoff, while Democrat Chris Harden secured his party's nomination. Traders assign the Republican nominee an 82% implied probability of victory in the November 3 general election, reflecting the district's established voting patterns, limited Democratic infrastructure, and absence of competitive polling signals or external factors that would narrow the gap. The outcome remains subject to standard midterm turnout dynamics.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$7,273종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Georgia's 11th congressional district, an open seat following the retirement of longtime Republican incumbent Barry Loudermilk, features a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+12 and northern Atlanta exurban territory that has consistently supported GOP candidates. The May 2026 Republican primary advanced John Cowan and Rob Adkerson to a June 16 runoff, while Democrat Chris Harden secured his party's nomination. Traders assign the Republican nominee an 82% implied probability of victory in the November 3 general election, reflecting the district's established voting patterns, limited Democratic infrastructure, and absence of competitive polling signals or external factors that would narrow the gap. The outcome remains subject to standard midterm turnout dynamics.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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