Washington's 5th congressional district maintains a Republican lean, reflected in its R+5 Cook Partisan Voter Index and consistent Solid Republican ratings from forecasters. Incumbent Michael Baumgartner, first elected in 2024, benefits from name recognition and early fundraising edges ahead of the August 4 top-two primary and November 3 general election. May polling showed him leading top Democratic challengers such as Carmela Conroy by six points, consistent with the seat's eastern Washington voting patterns and limited national attention on the race. Multiple Democratic and independent candidates have filed, yet no recent candidate withdrawals, major endorsements, or polling shifts have narrowed the Republican positioning reflected in current trader consensus.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$15,249 거래량
$15,249 거래량
2026.11.03
공화당
69%
민주당
27%
$15,249 거래량
$15,249 거래량
2026.11.03
공화당
$7,385 거래량
69%
민주당
$7,864 거래량
27%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Washington's 5th congressional district maintains a Republican lean, reflected in its R+5 Cook Partisan Voter Index and consistent Solid Republican ratings from forecasters. Incumbent Michael Baumgartner, first elected in 2024, benefits from name recognition and early fundraising edges ahead of the August 4 top-two primary and November 3 general election. May polling showed him leading top Democratic challengers such as Carmela Conroy by six points, consistent with the seat's eastern Washington voting patterns and limited national attention on the race. Multiple Democratic and independent candidates have filed, yet no recent candidate withdrawals, major endorsements, or polling shifts have narrowed the Republican positioning reflected in current trader consensus.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
거래량
$15,249종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Washington's 5th congressional district maintains a Republican lean, reflected in its R+5 Cook Partisan Voter Index and consistent Solid Republican ratings from forecasters. Incumbent Michael Baumgartner, first elected in 2024, benefits from name recognition and early fundraising edges ahead of the August 4 top-two primary and November 3 general election. May polling showed him leading top Democratic challengers such as Carmela Conroy by six points, consistent with the seat's eastern Washington voting patterns and limited national attention on the race. Multiple Democratic and independent candidates have filed, yet no recent candidate withdrawals, major endorsements, or polling shifts have narrowed the Republican positioning reflected in current trader consensus.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$15,249종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Washington's 5th congressional district maintains a Republican lean, reflected in its R+5 Cook Partisan Voter Index and consistent Solid Republican ratings from forecasters. Incumbent Michael Baumgartner, first elected in 2024, benefits from name recognition and early fundraising edges ahead of the August 4 top-two primary and November 3 general election. May polling showed him leading top Democratic challengers such as Carmela Conroy by six points, consistent with the seat's eastern Washington voting patterns and limited national attention on the race. Multiple Democratic and independent candidates have filed, yet no recent candidate withdrawals, major endorsements, or polling shifts have narrowed the Republican positioning reflected in current trader consensus.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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