The strong Democratic tilt of Washington’s 1st congressional district, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+15 and consistent Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic ratings from forecasters, underpins trader consensus on the Democratic Party outcome. Incumbent Representative Suzan DelBene, first elected in 2012 and re-elected with over 63 percent in 2024, faces multiple primary challengers but only one Republican opponent after the May 2026 filing deadline. The August 4, 2026, top-two primary and November general election timeline reinforce expectations of continuity absent major shifts. Late developments such as a national Republican surge, unexpected primary upset, or significant scandal involving the incumbent could still alter the trajectory before voters decide.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$15,803 거래량
$15,803 거래량
2026.11.03
민주당
91%
공화당
4%
$15,803 거래량
$15,803 거래량
2026.11.03
민주당
$9,023 거래량
91%
공화당
$6,780 거래량
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The strong Democratic tilt of Washington’s 1st congressional district, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+15 and consistent Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic ratings from forecasters, underpins trader consensus on the Democratic Party outcome. Incumbent Representative Suzan DelBene, first elected in 2012 and re-elected with over 63 percent in 2024, faces multiple primary challengers but only one Republican opponent after the May 2026 filing deadline. The August 4, 2026, top-two primary and November general election timeline reinforce expectations of continuity absent major shifts. Late developments such as a national Republican surge, unexpected primary upset, or significant scandal involving the incumbent could still alter the trajectory before voters decide.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
거래량
$15,803종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The strong Democratic tilt of Washington’s 1st congressional district, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+15 and consistent Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic ratings from forecasters, underpins trader consensus on the Democratic Party outcome. Incumbent Representative Suzan DelBene, first elected in 2012 and re-elected with over 63 percent in 2024, faces multiple primary challengers but only one Republican opponent after the May 2026 filing deadline. The August 4, 2026, top-two primary and November general election timeline reinforce expectations of continuity absent major shifts. Late developments such as a national Republican surge, unexpected primary upset, or significant scandal involving the incumbent could still alter the trajectory before voters decide.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$15,803종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The strong Democratic tilt of Washington’s 1st congressional district, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+15 and consistent Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic ratings from forecasters, underpins trader consensus on the Democratic Party outcome. Incumbent Representative Suzan DelBene, first elected in 2012 and re-elected with over 63 percent in 2024, faces multiple primary challengers but only one Republican opponent after the May 2026 filing deadline. The August 4, 2026, top-two primary and November general election timeline reinforce expectations of continuity absent major shifts. Late developments such as a national Republican surge, unexpected primary upset, or significant scandal involving the incumbent could still alter the trajectory before voters decide.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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