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정치·프라이머리

누가 캘리포니아 주지사 예비선거에 진출하게 되나요?

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정치·프라이머리

누가 캘리포니아 주지사 예비선거에 진출하게 되나요?

$485,654 거래량

2026.06.02
Polymarket

$485,654 거래량

Polymarket

스티브 힐튼

$34,596 거래량

77%

톰 스타이어

$21,983 거래량

73%

채드 비앙코

$16,853 거래량

20%

케이티 포터

$6,400 거래량

17%

맷 마한

$11,245 거래량

13%

자비에르 베세라

$6,107 거래량

9%

엘레인 컬로티

$1 거래량

7%

데릭 그래스티

$13,258 거래량

5%

안토니오 비야라이고사

$11,621 거래량

5%

에단 아가왈

$2,470 거래량

4%

샤리파 하디

$0 거래량

3%

체 안

$17,926 거래량

3%

지미 파커

$0 거래량

3%

딜런 콜버트

$13,381 거래량

3%

다니엘 머큐리

$8,339 거래량

3%

Nicki Minaj

$3,172 거래량

3%

소피아 브링크

$37,787 거래량

3%

데이비드 틸렌

$750 거래량

3%

베티 이

$2,833 거래량

3%

이안 칼데론

$112,145 거래량

3%

브랜든 존스

$35,770 거래량

2%

레오 재키

$0 거래량

2%

니콜라스 톰슨

$6,683 거래량

2%

라지 랍

$2,320 거래량

2%

램지 로빈슨

$2,831 거래량

2%

자벤 앨런

$0 거래량

11%

카일 랭포드

$10,741 거래량

2%

카롤라이나 뷜러

$7,548 거래량

2%

Zoltan Istvan

$11,488 거래량

2%

데이비드 세르파

$4,496 거래량

2%

라이언 틸먼

$1,504 거래량

2%

레너드 잭슨

$3,281 거래량

2%

부치 웨어

$7,573 거래량

2%

토니 서몬드

$1,388 거래량

2%

썬더 팔레이

$50,665 거래량

2%

에릭 스월웰

$18,497 거래량

1%

The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California. This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for Governor of California. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. If no 2026 California gubernatorial primary takes place by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “No.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.In California's top-two gubernatorial primary on June 2, 2026, recent polls reflect trader concerns over a fragmented Democratic field—spanning Katie Porter, Eric Swalwell, Tom Steyer, Antonio Villaraigosa, and others—potentially allowing Republicans Steve Hilton and Riverside County Sheriff Chad Bianco to capture both advancement spots, as shown in a April 14 Desert Sun survey placing Steyer first and Hilton second. Incumbent Gavin Newsom's refusal to endorse a successor, reported April 10, exacerbates Democratic disarray in this open-seat race. Polling volatility persists amid ongoing debates and forums, with historical top-two dynamics favoring consolidated support in the deep-blue state; final pre-primary consolidations or endorsements could tip battleground voter blocs before mail ballots dominate turnout.

The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California.

This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for Governor of California. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.

If no 2026 California gubernatorial primary takes place by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “No.”

This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.
거래량
$485,654
종료일
2026.06.02
마켓 개설일
Dec 4, 2025, 5:48 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California. This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for Governor of California. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. If no 2026 California gubernatorial primary takes place by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “No.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.
The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California. This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for Governor of California. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. If no 2026 California gubernatorial primary takes place by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “No.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.In California's top-two gubernatorial primary on June 2, 2026, recent polls reflect trader concerns over a fragmented Democratic field—spanning Katie Porter, Eric Swalwell, Tom Steyer, Antonio Villaraigosa, and others—potentially allowing Republicans Steve Hilton and Riverside County Sheriff Chad Bianco to capture both advancement spots, as shown in a April 14 Desert Sun survey placing Steyer first and Hilton second. Incumbent Gavin Newsom's refusal to endorse a successor, reported April 10, exacerbates Democratic disarray in this open-seat race. Polling volatility persists amid ongoing debates and forums, with historical top-two dynamics favoring consolidated support in the deep-blue state; final pre-primary consolidations or endorsements could tip battleground voter blocs before mail ballots dominate turnout.

The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California.

This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for Governor of California. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.

If no 2026 California gubernatorial primary takes place by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “No.”

This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.
거래량
$485,654
종료일
2026.06.02
마켓 개설일
Dec 4, 2025, 5:48 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California. This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for Governor of California. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. If no 2026 California gubernatorial primary takes place by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “No.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.

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자주 묻는 질문

"누가 캘리포니아 주지사 예비선거에 진출하게 되나요?"은 36개의 가능한 결과가 있는 Polymarket의 예측 마켓으로, 트레이더들이 어떤 결과가 발생할지에 따라 주식을 매수 및 매도합니다. 현재 선두 결과는 77%의 "스티브 힐튼"이며, 이어서 73%의 "톰 스타이어"입니다. 가격은 실시간 크라우드소싱 확률을 반영합니다. 예를 들어 77¢에 거래되는 주식은 마켓이 해당 결과에 77%의 확률을 부여함을 의미합니다. 이 확률은 트레이더들이 새로운 진전과 정보에 반응함에 따라 지속적으로 변화합니다. 정확한 결과의 주식은 마켓 정산 시 각 $1에 교환 가능합니다.

오늘 현재 "누가 캘리포니아 주지사 예비선거에 진출하게 되나요?"은 총 $485.7K의 거래량을 생성했습니다 마켓이 Dec 4, 2025에 시작된 이후. 이 수준의 거래 활동은 Polymarket 커뮤니티의 강한 참여를 반영하며 현재 확률이 깊은 참가자 풀에 의해 정보에 기반하도록 보장합니다. 이 페이지에서 실시간 가격 변동을 추적하고 모든 결과에 직접 거래할 수 있습니다.

"누가 캘리포니아 주지사 예비선거에 진출하게 되나요?"에서 거래하려면 이 페이지에 나열된 36개의 가용 결과를 탐색하세요. 각 결과에는 마켓의 내재 확률을 나타내는 현재 가격이 표시됩니다. 포지션을 잡으려면 가장 가능성이 높다고 생각하는 결과를 선택하고, 찬성이면 "Yes", 반대이면 "No"를 선택하고, 금액을 입력하고 "거래"를 클릭하세요. 마켓이 정산될 때 선택한 결과가 맞으면 "Yes" 주식은 각 $1을 지급합니다. 틀리면 $0을 지급합니다. 수익을 확정하거나 손실을 줄이고 싶다면 정산 전 언제든지 주식을 매도할 수 있습니다.

"누가 캘리포니아 주지사 예비선거에 진출하게 되나요?"의 현재 유력 후보는 77%의 "스티브 힐튼"이며, 마켓이 해당 결과에 77%의 확률을 부여합니다. 두 번째로 가까운 결과는 73%의 "톰 스타이어"입니다. 이 확률은 트레이더들의 주식 매수 및 매도에 따라 실시간으로 업데이트되어 가장 가능성 있는 결과에 대한 최신 집단 시각을 반영합니다. 새로운 정보가 나타남에 따라 확률이 어떻게 변화하는지 자주 확인하거나 이 페이지를 북마크하세요.

"누가 캘리포니아 주지사 예비선거에 진출하게 되나요?"의 정산 규칙은 각 결과가 승자로 선언되기 위해 정확히 무엇이 일어나야 하는지를 정의합니다 — 결과를 결정하는 데 사용되는 공식 데이터 소스를 포함합니다. 이 페이지의 댓글 위 "규칙" 섹션에서 완전한 정산 기준을 검토할 수 있습니다. 거래 전 규칙을 주의 깊게 읽는 것을 권장합니다. 이 마켓이 어떻게 정산되는지를 관리하는 정확한 조건, 예외 사항, 출처를 명시하고 있습니다.