The open seat in New York's 21st congressional district, previously held by Republican Elise Stefanik, features a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+10 and consistent Republican presidential margins, positioning the eventual GOP nominee as the clear frontrunner in the November 3, 2026 general election. Multiple nonpartisan ratings classify the race as Solid or Safe Republican. The June 23 Republican primary between state Assemblymember Robert Smullen and businessman Anthony Constantino, featuring competing endorsements from party organizations and former President Trump, has drawn attention but has not altered the broader outlook. Democratic primary contenders, including Blake Gendebien, face structural headwinds in a district that has favored Republican candidates by double-digit margins in recent cycles. Trader consensus reflects these partisan fundamentals and limited crossover appeal.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$24,059 거래량
$24,059 거래량
2026.11.03
공화당
74%
민주당
30%
$24,059 거래량
$24,059 거래량
2026.11.03
공화당
$14,095 거래량
74%
민주당
$9,964 거래량
30%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The open seat in New York's 21st congressional district, previously held by Republican Elise Stefanik, features a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+10 and consistent Republican presidential margins, positioning the eventual GOP nominee as the clear frontrunner in the November 3, 2026 general election. Multiple nonpartisan ratings classify the race as Solid or Safe Republican. The June 23 Republican primary between state Assemblymember Robert Smullen and businessman Anthony Constantino, featuring competing endorsements from party organizations and former President Trump, has drawn attention but has not altered the broader outlook. Democratic primary contenders, including Blake Gendebien, face structural headwinds in a district that has favored Republican candidates by double-digit margins in recent cycles. Trader consensus reflects these partisan fundamentals and limited crossover appeal.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
거래량
$24,059종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The open seat in New York's 21st congressional district, previously held by Republican Elise Stefanik, features a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+10 and consistent Republican presidential margins, positioning the eventual GOP nominee as the clear frontrunner in the November 3, 2026 general election. Multiple nonpartisan ratings classify the race as Solid or Safe Republican. The June 23 Republican primary between state Assemblymember Robert Smullen and businessman Anthony Constantino, featuring competing endorsements from party organizations and former President Trump, has drawn attention but has not altered the broader outlook. Democratic primary contenders, including Blake Gendebien, face structural headwinds in a district that has favored Republican candidates by double-digit margins in recent cycles. Trader consensus reflects these partisan fundamentals and limited crossover appeal.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$24,059종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The open seat in New York's 21st congressional district, previously held by Republican Elise Stefanik, features a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+10 and consistent Republican presidential margins, positioning the eventual GOP nominee as the clear frontrunner in the November 3, 2026 general election. Multiple nonpartisan ratings classify the race as Solid or Safe Republican. The June 23 Republican primary between state Assemblymember Robert Smullen and businessman Anthony Constantino, featuring competing endorsements from party organizations and former President Trump, has drawn attention but has not altered the broader outlook. Democratic primary contenders, including Blake Gendebien, face structural headwinds in a district that has favored Republican candidates by double-digit margins in recent cycles. Trader consensus reflects these partisan fundamentals and limited crossover appeal.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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