North Dakota's at-large House seat remains a structural Republican stronghold, reflected in the market's 95% implied probability for the Republican nominee. Freshman incumbent Julie Fedorchak won the seat by a wide margin in 2024, and nonpartisan race raters continue to classify the district as solid or safe Republican ahead of the November 2026 general election. The Democratic primary on June 9 offers limited competition, with returning challenger Trygve Hammer as the main contender in a state that has not elected a Democrat to Congress in decades. National midterm dynamics or an unforeseen local development could narrow the gap, yet current polling trends and fundraising patterns show no signs of eroding the Republican advantage.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$39,243 거래량
$39,243 거래량
2026.11.03
공화당
95%
민주당
4%
$39,243 거래량
$39,243 거래량
2026.11.03
공화당
$23,342 거래량
95%
민주당
$15,901 거래량
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ND-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).North Dakota's at-large House seat remains a structural Republican stronghold, reflected in the market's 95% implied probability for the Republican nominee. Freshman incumbent Julie Fedorchak won the seat by a wide margin in 2024, and nonpartisan race raters continue to classify the district as solid or safe Republican ahead of the November 2026 general election. The Democratic primary on June 9 offers limited competition, with returning challenger Trygve Hammer as the main contender in a state that has not elected a Democrat to Congress in decades. National midterm dynamics or an unforeseen local development could narrow the gap, yet current polling trends and fundraising patterns show no signs of eroding the Republican advantage.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ND-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
거래량
$39,243종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ND-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).North Dakota's at-large House seat remains a structural Republican stronghold, reflected in the market's 95% implied probability for the Republican nominee. Freshman incumbent Julie Fedorchak won the seat by a wide margin in 2024, and nonpartisan race raters continue to classify the district as solid or safe Republican ahead of the November 2026 general election. The Democratic primary on June 9 offers limited competition, with returning challenger Trygve Hammer as the main contender in a state that has not elected a Democrat to Congress in decades. National midterm dynamics or an unforeseen local development could narrow the gap, yet current polling trends and fundraising patterns show no signs of eroding the Republican advantage.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ND-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$39,243종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...North Dakota's at-large House seat remains a structural Republican stronghold, reflected in the market's 95% implied probability for the Republican nominee. Freshman incumbent Julie Fedorchak won the seat by a wide margin in 2024, and nonpartisan race raters continue to classify the district as solid or safe Republican ahead of the November 2026 general election. The Democratic primary on June 9 offers limited competition, with returning challenger Trygve Hammer as the main contender in a state that has not elected a Democrat to Congress in decades. National midterm dynamics or an unforeseen local development could narrow the gap, yet current polling trends and fundraising patterns show no signs of eroding the Republican advantage.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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