Incumbent Republican Julie Fedorchak's bid for reelection in North Dakota's R+18 at-large House district underpins the 92.5% trader consensus for a GOP win, reflecting the state's longstanding Republican dominance and her prior 39-point victory margin. Recent catalysts include her April 2 signature filing ahead of the June 9 primary—now contested after the NDGOP endorsed challenger Alex Balazs on March 29—and Democrat Trygve Hammer's March 7 party endorsement for a rematch following his 2024 loss. Absent public polls, odds align with historical base rates favoring incumbents in safe seats. Disruptions like a scandal-plagued GOP nominee, primary upset yielding a weaker general election candidate, or a national midterm anti-Republican wave could challenge this, though structural barriers remain high.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$23,091 거래량
$23,091 거래량
2026.11.03
Republican Party
93%
Democratic Party
7%
$23,091 거래량
$23,091 거래량
2026.11.03
Republican Party
$13,337 거래량
93%
Democratic Party
$9,754 거래량
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ND-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Julie Fedorchak's bid for reelection in North Dakota's R+18 at-large House district underpins the 92.5% trader consensus for a GOP win, reflecting the state's longstanding Republican dominance and her prior 39-point victory margin. Recent catalysts include her April 2 signature filing ahead of the June 9 primary—now contested after the NDGOP endorsed challenger Alex Balazs on March 29—and Democrat Trygve Hammer's March 7 party endorsement for a rematch following his 2024 loss. Absent public polls, odds align with historical base rates favoring incumbents in safe seats. Disruptions like a scandal-plagued GOP nominee, primary upset yielding a weaker general election candidate, or a national midterm anti-Republican wave could challenge this, though structural barriers remain high.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ND-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
거래량
$23,091종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ND-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Julie Fedorchak's bid for reelection in North Dakota's R+18 at-large House district underpins the 92.5% trader consensus for a GOP win, reflecting the state's longstanding Republican dominance and her prior 39-point victory margin. Recent catalysts include her April 2 signature filing ahead of the June 9 primary—now contested after the NDGOP endorsed challenger Alex Balazs on March 29—and Democrat Trygve Hammer's March 7 party endorsement for a rematch following his 2024 loss. Absent public polls, odds align with historical base rates favoring incumbents in safe seats. Disruptions like a scandal-plagued GOP nominee, primary upset yielding a weaker general election candidate, or a national midterm anti-Republican wave could challenge this, though structural barriers remain high.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ND-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$23,091종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Julie Fedorchak's bid for reelection in North Dakota's R+18 at-large House district underpins the 92.5% trader consensus for a GOP win, reflecting the state's longstanding Republican dominance and her prior 39-point victory margin. Recent catalysts include her April 2 signature filing ahead of the June 9 primary—now contested after the NDGOP endorsed challenger Alex Balazs on March 29—and Democrat Trygve Hammer's March 7 party endorsement for a rematch following his 2024 loss. Absent public polls, odds align with historical base rates favoring incumbents in safe seats. Disruptions like a scandal-plagued GOP nominee, primary upset yielding a weaker general election candidate, or a national midterm anti-Republican wave could challenge this, though structural barriers remain high.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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