Incumbent Democrat Shomari Figures holds a commanding lead in trader consensus for Alabama's 2nd congressional district House seat, driven by his 2024 general election win with 55% of the vote in this D+5 partisan-leaning district featuring a 48.7% Black voting-age population. Both party primaries were canceled after Figures and Republican Hampton Harris filed without opposition, securing their nominations early and highlighting the weak GOP field. Figures' fundraising dominance—$793,000 raised versus Harris' $209,000 as of late March—bolsters his position, with race raters like Cook Political Report deeming it Solid Democratic. While scenarios like a Figures scandal, national Republican midterm wave, or Harris fundraising surge could narrow odds, no such catalysts have emerged ahead of the November 3 general election.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트신규
신규
2026.11.03
Democratic Party
92%
Republican Party
8%
신규
신규
2026.11.03
Democratic Party
$2,102 거래량
92%
Republican Party
$0 거래량
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Shomari Figures holds a commanding lead in trader consensus for Alabama's 2nd congressional district House seat, driven by his 2024 general election win with 55% of the vote in this D+5 partisan-leaning district featuring a 48.7% Black voting-age population. Both party primaries were canceled after Figures and Republican Hampton Harris filed without opposition, securing their nominations early and highlighting the weak GOP field. Figures' fundraising dominance—$793,000 raised versus Harris' $209,000 as of late March—bolsters his position, with race raters like Cook Political Report deeming it Solid Democratic. While scenarios like a Figures scandal, national Republican midterm wave, or Harris fundraising surge could narrow odds, no such catalysts have emerged ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
거래량
$2,102종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Shomari Figures holds a commanding lead in trader consensus for Alabama's 2nd congressional district House seat, driven by his 2024 general election win with 55% of the vote in this D+5 partisan-leaning district featuring a 48.7% Black voting-age population. Both party primaries were canceled after Figures and Republican Hampton Harris filed without opposition, securing their nominations early and highlighting the weak GOP field. Figures' fundraising dominance—$793,000 raised versus Harris' $209,000 as of late March—bolsters his position, with race raters like Cook Political Report deeming it Solid Democratic. While scenarios like a Figures scandal, national Republican midterm wave, or Harris fundraising surge could narrow odds, no such catalysts have emerged ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$2,102종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Shomari Figures holds a commanding lead in trader consensus for Alabama's 2nd congressional district House seat, driven by his 2024 general election win with 55% of the vote in this D+5 partisan-leaning district featuring a 48.7% Black voting-age population. Both party primaries were canceled after Figures and Republican Hampton Harris filed without opposition, securing their nominations early and highlighting the weak GOP field. Figures' fundraising dominance—$793,000 raised versus Harris' $209,000 as of late March—bolsters his position, with race raters like Cook Political Report deeming it Solid Democratic. While scenarios like a Figures scandal, national Republican midterm wave, or Harris fundraising surge could narrow odds, no such catalysts have emerged ahead of the November 3 general election.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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