Alabama's 2nd Congressional District leans Republican in most statewide voting patterns, supporting the 74% Republican implied probability despite Democratic incumbent Shomari Figures. The seat's fundamentals, including its voter composition in a solidly GOP state, outweigh the incumbent's 2024 win under court-adjusted lines that boosted Democratic performance in some analyses. Cook Political Report rates the race Solid Republican, with other forecasters calling it Likely Republican. A crowded August 11 Republican primary featuring multiple candidates will shape the general election matchup ahead of the November 3, 2026, vote. Ongoing litigation over district boundaries adds procedural uncertainty but has not shifted the underlying partisan tilt reflected in trader consensus.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$31,940 거래량
$31,940 거래량
2026.11.03
Republican Party
74%
Democratic Party
26%
$31,940 거래량
$31,940 거래량
2026.11.03
Republican Party
$17,741 거래량
74%
Democratic Party
$14,200 거래량
26%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Alabama's 2nd Congressional District leans Republican in most statewide voting patterns, supporting the 74% Republican implied probability despite Democratic incumbent Shomari Figures. The seat's fundamentals, including its voter composition in a solidly GOP state, outweigh the incumbent's 2024 win under court-adjusted lines that boosted Democratic performance in some analyses. Cook Political Report rates the race Solid Republican, with other forecasters calling it Likely Republican. A crowded August 11 Republican primary featuring multiple candidates will shape the general election matchup ahead of the November 3, 2026, vote. Ongoing litigation over district boundaries adds procedural uncertainty but has not shifted the underlying partisan tilt reflected in trader consensus.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
거래량
$31,940종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Alabama's 2nd Congressional District leans Republican in most statewide voting patterns, supporting the 74% Republican implied probability despite Democratic incumbent Shomari Figures. The seat's fundamentals, including its voter composition in a solidly GOP state, outweigh the incumbent's 2024 win under court-adjusted lines that boosted Democratic performance in some analyses. Cook Political Report rates the race Solid Republican, with other forecasters calling it Likely Republican. A crowded August 11 Republican primary featuring multiple candidates will shape the general election matchup ahead of the November 3, 2026, vote. Ongoing litigation over district boundaries adds procedural uncertainty but has not shifted the underlying partisan tilt reflected in trader consensus.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$31,940종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Alabama's 2nd Congressional District leans Republican in most statewide voting patterns, supporting the 74% Republican implied probability despite Democratic incumbent Shomari Figures. The seat's fundamentals, including its voter composition in a solidly GOP state, outweigh the incumbent's 2024 win under court-adjusted lines that boosted Democratic performance in some analyses. Cook Political Report rates the race Solid Republican, with other forecasters calling it Likely Republican. A crowded August 11 Republican primary featuring multiple candidates will shape the general election matchup ahead of the November 3, 2026, vote. Ongoing litigation over district boundaries adds procedural uncertainty but has not shifted the underlying partisan tilt reflected in trader consensus.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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