Recent redistricting in Alabama, upheld by the Supreme Court in early June 2026, has shifted Alabama's 2nd congressional district toward a Republican lean by altering boundaries in a manner that reduces Democratic advantages in the Mobile area and surrounding counties. Incumbent Democrat Shomari Figures faces this adjusted map ahead of the August 11 special primary and November general election, with race ratings from Cook Political Report and Inside Elections classifying the seat as Solid or Likely Republican. A late May qualifying period drew six Republican candidates, including state Representative Rhett Marques, who leads an early June poll of the GOP field despite high undecided shares. These developments have shaped trader consensus around Republican performance in the general election.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$31,969 거래량
$31,969 거래량
2026.11.03
Republican Party
75%
Democratic Party
30%
$31,969 거래량
$31,969 거래량
2026.11.03
Republican Party
$17,770 거래량
75%
Democratic Party
$14,271 거래량
30%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Recent redistricting in Alabama, upheld by the Supreme Court in early June 2026, has shifted Alabama's 2nd congressional district toward a Republican lean by altering boundaries in a manner that reduces Democratic advantages in the Mobile area and surrounding counties. Incumbent Democrat Shomari Figures faces this adjusted map ahead of the August 11 special primary and November general election, with race ratings from Cook Political Report and Inside Elections classifying the seat as Solid or Likely Republican. A late May qualifying period drew six Republican candidates, including state Representative Rhett Marques, who leads an early June poll of the GOP field despite high undecided shares. These developments have shaped trader consensus around Republican performance in the general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
거래량
$31,969종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Recent redistricting in Alabama, upheld by the Supreme Court in early June 2026, has shifted Alabama's 2nd congressional district toward a Republican lean by altering boundaries in a manner that reduces Democratic advantages in the Mobile area and surrounding counties. Incumbent Democrat Shomari Figures faces this adjusted map ahead of the August 11 special primary and November general election, with race ratings from Cook Political Report and Inside Elections classifying the seat as Solid or Likely Republican. A late May qualifying period drew six Republican candidates, including state Representative Rhett Marques, who leads an early June poll of the GOP field despite high undecided shares. These developments have shaped trader consensus around Republican performance in the general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$31,969종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent redistricting in Alabama, upheld by the Supreme Court in early June 2026, has shifted Alabama's 2nd congressional district toward a Republican lean by altering boundaries in a manner that reduces Democratic advantages in the Mobile area and surrounding counties. Incumbent Democrat Shomari Figures faces this adjusted map ahead of the August 11 special primary and November general election, with race ratings from Cook Political Report and Inside Elections classifying the seat as Solid or Likely Republican. A late May qualifying period drew six Republican candidates, including state Representative Rhett Marques, who leads an early June poll of the GOP field despite high undecided shares. These developments have shaped trader consensus around Republican performance in the general election.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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