Trader consensus prices an 83.5% implied probability on "No" for President Trump exiting office before 2027, driven by Republican majorities in the House and Senate insulating him from impeachment or 25th Amendment invocation despite Democratic outcry over his April 7 Iran ultimatum threatening "Power Plant Day" and "Bridge Day" strikes. The White House quickly secured a ceasefire, dispatching VP Vance for negotiations, while debunking Easter weekend hospitalization rumors as baseless hoaxes. No formal proceedings have advanced, with Senate Republicans recently rejecting war powers resolutions on the conflict. Midterm elections in November could shift House control, but historical patterns favor incumbents absent bipartisan support for removal.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트예
$7,021,944 거래량
$7,021,944 거래량
2026.12.31
예
$7,021,944 거래량
$7,021,944 거래량
2026.12.31
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus prices an 83.5% implied probability on "No" for President Trump exiting office before 2027, driven by Republican majorities in the House and Senate insulating him from impeachment or 25th Amendment invocation despite Democratic outcry over his April 7 Iran ultimatum threatening "Power Plant Day" and "Bridge Day" strikes. The White House quickly secured a ceasefire, dispatching VP Vance for negotiations, while debunking Easter weekend hospitalization rumors as baseless hoaxes. No formal proceedings have advanced, with Senate Republicans recently rejecting war powers resolutions on the conflict. Midterm elections in November could shift House control, but historical patterns favor incumbents absent bipartisan support for removal.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
마켓 개설일: Nov 5, 2025, 4:56 PM ET
거래량
$7,021,944종료일
2026.12.31마켓 개설일
Nov 5, 2025, 4:56 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus prices an 83.5% implied probability on "No" for President Trump exiting office before 2027, driven by Republican majorities in the House and Senate insulating him from impeachment or 25th Amendment invocation despite Democratic outcry over his April 7 Iran ultimatum threatening "Power Plant Day" and "Bridge Day" strikes. The White House quickly secured a ceasefire, dispatching VP Vance for negotiations, while debunking Easter weekend hospitalization rumors as baseless hoaxes. No formal proceedings have advanced, with Senate Republicans recently rejecting war powers resolutions on the conflict. Midterm elections in November could shift House control, but historical patterns favor incumbents absent bipartisan support for removal.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
거래량
$7,021,944종료일
2026.12.31마켓 개설일
Nov 5, 2025, 4:56 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus prices an 83.5% implied probability on "No" for President Trump exiting office before 2027, driven by Republican majorities in the House and Senate insulating him from impeachment or 25th Amendment invocation despite Democratic outcry over his April 7 Iran ultimatum threatening "Power Plant Day" and "Bridge Day" strikes. The White House quickly secured a ceasefire, dispatching VP Vance for negotiations, while debunking Easter weekend hospitalization rumors as baseless hoaxes. No formal proceedings have advanced, with Senate Republicans recently rejecting war powers resolutions on the conflict. Midterm elections in November could shift House control, but historical patterns favor incumbents absent bipartisan support for removal.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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