Florida's 1st Congressional District, rated Solid Republican with an R+18 partisan voting index, favors incumbent Jimmy Patronis following his 15-point special election win in April 2025 to succeed Matt Gaetz. Patronis leads Republican primary challengers—including Douglas Chico, Aaron Dimmock, John Frankman, and Gene Valentino—with nearly $3 million raised and substantial cash on hand as the April 24 filing deadline nears. Democrat Gay Valimont, who trailed badly in the special despite outperforming Kamala Harris locally, remains the presumptive nominee absent competition. Trader consensus at 92.5% for a Republican victory reflects the district's historical GOP dominance in a Trump +37 area, though a primary upset, scandal, or national wave could shift odds before the August 18 primaries and November 3 general election.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$87,756 거래량
$87,756 거래량
2026.11.03
공화당
93%
민주당
7%
$87,756 거래량
$87,756 거래량
2026.11.03
공화당
$69,030 거래량
93%
민주당
$18,726 거래량
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 1st Congressional District, rated Solid Republican with an R+18 partisan voting index, favors incumbent Jimmy Patronis following his 15-point special election win in April 2025 to succeed Matt Gaetz. Patronis leads Republican primary challengers—including Douglas Chico, Aaron Dimmock, John Frankman, and Gene Valentino—with nearly $3 million raised and substantial cash on hand as the April 24 filing deadline nears. Democrat Gay Valimont, who trailed badly in the special despite outperforming Kamala Harris locally, remains the presumptive nominee absent competition. Trader consensus at 92.5% for a Republican victory reflects the district's historical GOP dominance in a Trump +37 area, though a primary upset, scandal, or national wave could shift odds before the August 18 primaries and November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
거래량
$87,756종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 1st Congressional District, rated Solid Republican with an R+18 partisan voting index, favors incumbent Jimmy Patronis following his 15-point special election win in April 2025 to succeed Matt Gaetz. Patronis leads Republican primary challengers—including Douglas Chico, Aaron Dimmock, John Frankman, and Gene Valentino—with nearly $3 million raised and substantial cash on hand as the April 24 filing deadline nears. Democrat Gay Valimont, who trailed badly in the special despite outperforming Kamala Harris locally, remains the presumptive nominee absent competition. Trader consensus at 92.5% for a Republican victory reflects the district's historical GOP dominance in a Trump +37 area, though a primary upset, scandal, or national wave could shift odds before the August 18 primaries and November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$87,756종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Florida's 1st Congressional District, rated Solid Republican with an R+18 partisan voting index, favors incumbent Jimmy Patronis following his 15-point special election win in April 2025 to succeed Matt Gaetz. Patronis leads Republican primary challengers—including Douglas Chico, Aaron Dimmock, John Frankman, and Gene Valentino—with nearly $3 million raised and substantial cash on hand as the April 24 filing deadline nears. Democrat Gay Valimont, who trailed badly in the special despite outperforming Kamala Harris locally, remains the presumptive nominee absent competition. Trader consensus at 92.5% for a Republican victory reflects the district's historical GOP dominance in a Trump +37 area, though a primary upset, scandal, or national wave could shift odds before the August 18 primaries and November 3 general election.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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