**Minnesota's 5th Congressional District, a deep-blue stronghold centered on Minneapolis with a Cook Partisan Voting Index exceeding D+30, overwhelmingly favors Democrats, reflected in trader consensus pricing the Democratic Party at 93.5% to win the November 3, 2026, general election.** Incumbent Rep. Ilhan Omar's repeated large-margin victories, including 2024's easy reelection, combined with the district's urban progressive base and historical GOP underperformance, drive this commanding position. Recent Democratic primary entries like former DHS lawyer Julie Le in March signal potential intra-party tests ahead of the August 11 primary, but Omar retains strong local support. Republicans lack a prominent challenger, per early filings. Upsets remain possible via Omar primary loss, major scandal, nominee weaknesses, or national midterm wave favoring Republicans.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$31,469 거래량
$31,469 거래량
2026.11.03
Democratic Party
94%
Republican Party
6%
$31,469 거래량
$31,469 거래량
2026.11.03
Democratic Party
$15,039 거래량
94%
Republican Party
$16,430 거래량
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**Minnesota's 5th Congressional District, a deep-blue stronghold centered on Minneapolis with a Cook Partisan Voting Index exceeding D+30, overwhelmingly favors Democrats, reflected in trader consensus pricing the Democratic Party at 93.5% to win the November 3, 2026, general election.** Incumbent Rep. Ilhan Omar's repeated large-margin victories, including 2024's easy reelection, combined with the district's urban progressive base and historical GOP underperformance, drive this commanding position. Recent Democratic primary entries like former DHS lawyer Julie Le in March signal potential intra-party tests ahead of the August 11 primary, but Omar retains strong local support. Republicans lack a prominent challenger, per early filings. Upsets remain possible via Omar primary loss, major scandal, nominee weaknesses, or national midterm wave favoring Republicans.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
거래량
$31,469종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**Minnesota's 5th Congressional District, a deep-blue stronghold centered on Minneapolis with a Cook Partisan Voting Index exceeding D+30, overwhelmingly favors Democrats, reflected in trader consensus pricing the Democratic Party at 93.5% to win the November 3, 2026, general election.** Incumbent Rep. Ilhan Omar's repeated large-margin victories, including 2024's easy reelection, combined with the district's urban progressive base and historical GOP underperformance, drive this commanding position. Recent Democratic primary entries like former DHS lawyer Julie Le in March signal potential intra-party tests ahead of the August 11 primary, but Omar retains strong local support. Republicans lack a prominent challenger, per early filings. Upsets remain possible via Omar primary loss, major scandal, nominee weaknesses, or national midterm wave favoring Republicans.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$31,469종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...**Minnesota's 5th Congressional District, a deep-blue stronghold centered on Minneapolis with a Cook Partisan Voting Index exceeding D+30, overwhelmingly favors Democrats, reflected in trader consensus pricing the Democratic Party at 93.5% to win the November 3, 2026, general election.** Incumbent Rep. Ilhan Omar's repeated large-margin victories, including 2024's easy reelection, combined with the district's urban progressive base and historical GOP underperformance, drive this commanding position. Recent Democratic primary entries like former DHS lawyer Julie Le in March signal potential intra-party tests ahead of the August 11 primary, but Omar retains strong local support. Republicans lack a prominent challenger, per early filings. Upsets remain possible via Omar primary loss, major scandal, nominee weaknesses, or national midterm wave favoring Republicans.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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