Minnesota's 5th congressional district maintains a pronounced Democratic lean, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+32 and consistent general election margins above 70 percent in recent cycles. Incumbent Democrat Ilhan Omar has confirmed her reelection bid for the November 2026 contest after forgoing a Senate run, with the Democratic primary scheduled for August 11 alongside a limited Republican field. All major forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic, aligning with historical voting patterns in this urban Minneapolis-area seat and the absence of competitive polling or major shifts. Trader consensus at these levels tracks the structural advantages for the Democratic nominee. A primary upset producing a significantly weaker general election candidate or an unforeseen late-cycle development could narrow the margin, though such scenarios remain remote given the district's established partisan composition.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$40,720 거래량
$40,720 거래량
2026.11.03
Democratic Party
94%
Republican Party
4%
$40,720 거래량
$40,720 거래량
2026.11.03
Democratic Party
$16,817 거래량
94%
Republican Party
$23,902 거래량
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Minnesota's 5th congressional district maintains a pronounced Democratic lean, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+32 and consistent general election margins above 70 percent in recent cycles. Incumbent Democrat Ilhan Omar has confirmed her reelection bid for the November 2026 contest after forgoing a Senate run, with the Democratic primary scheduled for August 11 alongside a limited Republican field. All major forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic, aligning with historical voting patterns in this urban Minneapolis-area seat and the absence of competitive polling or major shifts. Trader consensus at these levels tracks the structural advantages for the Democratic nominee. A primary upset producing a significantly weaker general election candidate or an unforeseen late-cycle development could narrow the margin, though such scenarios remain remote given the district's established partisan composition.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
거래량
$40,720종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Minnesota's 5th congressional district maintains a pronounced Democratic lean, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+32 and consistent general election margins above 70 percent in recent cycles. Incumbent Democrat Ilhan Omar has confirmed her reelection bid for the November 2026 contest after forgoing a Senate run, with the Democratic primary scheduled for August 11 alongside a limited Republican field. All major forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic, aligning with historical voting patterns in this urban Minneapolis-area seat and the absence of competitive polling or major shifts. Trader consensus at these levels tracks the structural advantages for the Democratic nominee. A primary upset producing a significantly weaker general election candidate or an unforeseen late-cycle development could narrow the margin, though such scenarios remain remote given the district's established partisan composition.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$40,720종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Minnesota's 5th congressional district maintains a pronounced Democratic lean, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+32 and consistent general election margins above 70 percent in recent cycles. Incumbent Democrat Ilhan Omar has confirmed her reelection bid for the November 2026 contest after forgoing a Senate run, with the Democratic primary scheduled for August 11 alongside a limited Republican field. All major forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic, aligning with historical voting patterns in this urban Minneapolis-area seat and the absence of competitive polling or major shifts. Trader consensus at these levels tracks the structural advantages for the Democratic nominee. A primary upset producing a significantly weaker general election candidate or an unforeseen late-cycle development could narrow the margin, though such scenarios remain remote given the district's established partisan composition.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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