Tennessee's 9th congressional district underwent mid-decade redistricting in May 2026, with the new map signed into law shifting boundaries to include more suburban and rural Republican-leaning areas around Nashville while diluting the Memphis core. This change produced a district that supported Donald Trump by double digits in recent cycles, prompting longtime Democratic incumbent Steve Cohen to announce he would not seek reelection. Republican primary candidates, including state legislators, quickly entered the race for the open seat, while Democratic contenders focus on a competitive August 6 primary. The altered partisan composition has driven trader consensus toward a Republican general election victory on November 3, with limited Democratic path to victory absent major shifts in turnout or candidate dynamics.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$30,685 거래량
$30,685 거래량
2026.11.03
공화당
83%
민주당
16%
$30,685 거래량
$30,685 거래량
2026.11.03
공화당
$17,481 거래량
83%
민주당
$13,204 거래량
16%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Tennessee's 9th congressional district underwent mid-decade redistricting in May 2026, with the new map signed into law shifting boundaries to include more suburban and rural Republican-leaning areas around Nashville while diluting the Memphis core. This change produced a district that supported Donald Trump by double digits in recent cycles, prompting longtime Democratic incumbent Steve Cohen to announce he would not seek reelection. Republican primary candidates, including state legislators, quickly entered the race for the open seat, while Democratic contenders focus on a competitive August 6 primary. The altered partisan composition has driven trader consensus toward a Republican general election victory on November 3, with limited Democratic path to victory absent major shifts in turnout or candidate dynamics.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
거래량
$30,685종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Tennessee's 9th congressional district underwent mid-decade redistricting in May 2026, with the new map signed into law shifting boundaries to include more suburban and rural Republican-leaning areas around Nashville while diluting the Memphis core. This change produced a district that supported Donald Trump by double digits in recent cycles, prompting longtime Democratic incumbent Steve Cohen to announce he would not seek reelection. Republican primary candidates, including state legislators, quickly entered the race for the open seat, while Democratic contenders focus on a competitive August 6 primary. The altered partisan composition has driven trader consensus toward a Republican general election victory on November 3, with limited Democratic path to victory absent major shifts in turnout or candidate dynamics.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$30,685종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Tennessee's 9th congressional district underwent mid-decade redistricting in May 2026, with the new map signed into law shifting boundaries to include more suburban and rural Republican-leaning areas around Nashville while diluting the Memphis core. This change produced a district that supported Donald Trump by double digits in recent cycles, prompting longtime Democratic incumbent Steve Cohen to announce he would not seek reelection. Republican primary candidates, including state legislators, quickly entered the race for the open seat, while Democratic contenders focus on a competitive August 6 primary. The altered partisan composition has driven trader consensus toward a Republican general election victory on November 3, with limited Democratic path to victory absent major shifts in turnout or candidate dynamics.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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