The open seat in Wisconsin's 7th Congressional District, vacated by Republican incumbent Tom Tiffany's bid for governor, underscores trader consensus favoring the Republican Party at 85.5% implied probability, reflecting the district's Solid Republican rating from Cook Political Report and historical margins exceeding 20 points. Recent first-quarter fundraising reports highlight frontrunner Michael Alfonso's financial edge, bolstered by President Trump's endorsement and backing from GOP leaders, amid a crowded primary. Democrats field three lesser-known challengers—a former legislator, attorney, and programmer—who held forums in March but face residency questions for some candidates. With August 11 primaries approaching, no early polls show competitive dynamics, reinforcing the district's rural conservative base.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$14,176 거래량
$14,176 거래량
2026.11.03
공화당
86%
민주당
14%
$14,176 거래량
$14,176 거래량
2026.11.03
공화당
$6,282 거래량
86%
민주당
$7,894 거래량
14%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The open seat in Wisconsin's 7th Congressional District, vacated by Republican incumbent Tom Tiffany's bid for governor, underscores trader consensus favoring the Republican Party at 85.5% implied probability, reflecting the district's Solid Republican rating from Cook Political Report and historical margins exceeding 20 points. Recent first-quarter fundraising reports highlight frontrunner Michael Alfonso's financial edge, bolstered by President Trump's endorsement and backing from GOP leaders, amid a crowded primary. Democrats field three lesser-known challengers—a former legislator, attorney, and programmer—who held forums in March but face residency questions for some candidates. With August 11 primaries approaching, no early polls show competitive dynamics, reinforcing the district's rural conservative base.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
거래량
$14,176종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The open seat in Wisconsin's 7th Congressional District, vacated by Republican incumbent Tom Tiffany's bid for governor, underscores trader consensus favoring the Republican Party at 85.5% implied probability, reflecting the district's Solid Republican rating from Cook Political Report and historical margins exceeding 20 points. Recent first-quarter fundraising reports highlight frontrunner Michael Alfonso's financial edge, bolstered by President Trump's endorsement and backing from GOP leaders, amid a crowded primary. Democrats field three lesser-known challengers—a former legislator, attorney, and programmer—who held forums in March but face residency questions for some candidates. With August 11 primaries approaching, no early polls show competitive dynamics, reinforcing the district's rural conservative base.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$14,176종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The open seat in Wisconsin's 7th Congressional District, vacated by Republican incumbent Tom Tiffany's bid for governor, underscores trader consensus favoring the Republican Party at 85.5% implied probability, reflecting the district's Solid Republican rating from Cook Political Report and historical margins exceeding 20 points. Recent first-quarter fundraising reports highlight frontrunner Michael Alfonso's financial edge, bolstered by President Trump's endorsement and backing from GOP leaders, amid a crowded primary. Democrats field three lesser-known challengers—a former legislator, attorney, and programmer—who held forums in March but face residency questions for some candidates. With August 11 primaries approaching, no early polls show competitive dynamics, reinforcing the district's rural conservative base.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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