Washington's 9th Congressional District, with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+22, has been a Democratic stronghold for decades, anchored by incumbent Rep. Adam Smith's long tenure and his decisive 2024 reelection victory. Trader consensus at 92.5% for the Democratic Party reflects this entrenched advantage in the Puget Sound region, where no credible Republican challengers have emerged ahead of the May 8 filing deadline and August 4 top-two primary. Absent recent developments shifting dynamics in the past 30 days, the pricing embodies historical base rates for safe seats. Potential disruptions include a weakened Democratic nominee from primary infighting—such as a far-left challenge—or a national midterm wave favoring Republicans, though such scenarios face steep barriers.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트신규
신규
2026.11.03
Democratic Party
93%
Republican Party
7%
신규
신규
2026.11.03
Democratic Party
$1,981 거래량
93%
Republican Party
$5,641 거래량
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Washington's 9th Congressional District, with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+22, has been a Democratic stronghold for decades, anchored by incumbent Rep. Adam Smith's long tenure and his decisive 2024 reelection victory. Trader consensus at 92.5% for the Democratic Party reflects this entrenched advantage in the Puget Sound region, where no credible Republican challengers have emerged ahead of the May 8 filing deadline and August 4 top-two primary. Absent recent developments shifting dynamics in the past 30 days, the pricing embodies historical base rates for safe seats. Potential disruptions include a weakened Democratic nominee from primary infighting—such as a far-left challenge—or a national midterm wave favoring Republicans, though such scenarios face steep barriers.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
거래량
$7,622종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Washington's 9th Congressional District, with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+22, has been a Democratic stronghold for decades, anchored by incumbent Rep. Adam Smith's long tenure and his decisive 2024 reelection victory. Trader consensus at 92.5% for the Democratic Party reflects this entrenched advantage in the Puget Sound region, where no credible Republican challengers have emerged ahead of the May 8 filing deadline and August 4 top-two primary. Absent recent developments shifting dynamics in the past 30 days, the pricing embodies historical base rates for safe seats. Potential disruptions include a weakened Democratic nominee from primary infighting—such as a far-left challenge—or a national midterm wave favoring Republicans, though such scenarios face steep barriers.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$7,622종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Washington's 9th Congressional District, with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+22, has been a Democratic stronghold for decades, anchored by incumbent Rep. Adam Smith's long tenure and his decisive 2024 reelection victory. Trader consensus at 92.5% for the Democratic Party reflects this entrenched advantage in the Puget Sound region, where no credible Republican challengers have emerged ahead of the May 8 filing deadline and August 4 top-two primary. Absent recent developments shifting dynamics in the past 30 days, the pricing embodies historical base rates for safe seats. Potential disruptions include a weakened Democratic nominee from primary infighting—such as a far-left challenge—or a national midterm wave favoring Republicans, though such scenarios face steep barriers.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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