Incumbent Republican Joe Wilson, serving South Carolina's 2nd Congressional District since 2001, anchors trader consensus at 85% implied probability for a Republican Party win in the November 2026 general election, driven by the district's strong GOP lean—Trump carried it by 14 points in 2024—and Wilson's fundraising edge exceeding $337,000 with no serious primary challengers ahead of the June 9, 2026, GOP primary. Democratic prospects languish at 15.5% amid a fragmented field including Dayna Alane Smith, Sam Gibbons, and Zyon Khalifa, lacking competitive polling or momentum. Candidate-specific outcomes like A, B, and Other hover around 50% due to early-stage uncertainty over nominees, but no developments in the past 30 days have altered the solid Republican path to victory, with focus shifting to primary results.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$21,497 거래량
$21,497 거래량
2026.11.03
공화당
85%
민주당
16%
$21,497 거래량
$21,497 거래량
2026.11.03
공화당
$7,502 거래량
85%
민주당
$13,995 거래량
16%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Joe Wilson, serving South Carolina's 2nd Congressional District since 2001, anchors trader consensus at 85% implied probability for a Republican Party win in the November 2026 general election, driven by the district's strong GOP lean—Trump carried it by 14 points in 2024—and Wilson's fundraising edge exceeding $337,000 with no serious primary challengers ahead of the June 9, 2026, GOP primary. Democratic prospects languish at 15.5% amid a fragmented field including Dayna Alane Smith, Sam Gibbons, and Zyon Khalifa, lacking competitive polling or momentum. Candidate-specific outcomes like A, B, and Other hover around 50% due to early-stage uncertainty over nominees, but no developments in the past 30 days have altered the solid Republican path to victory, with focus shifting to primary results.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
거래량
$21,497종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Joe Wilson, serving South Carolina's 2nd Congressional District since 2001, anchors trader consensus at 85% implied probability for a Republican Party win in the November 2026 general election, driven by the district's strong GOP lean—Trump carried it by 14 points in 2024—and Wilson's fundraising edge exceeding $337,000 with no serious primary challengers ahead of the June 9, 2026, GOP primary. Democratic prospects languish at 15.5% amid a fragmented field including Dayna Alane Smith, Sam Gibbons, and Zyon Khalifa, lacking competitive polling or momentum. Candidate-specific outcomes like A, B, and Other hover around 50% due to early-stage uncertainty over nominees, but no developments in the past 30 days have altered the solid Republican path to victory, with focus shifting to primary results.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$21,497종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Joe Wilson, serving South Carolina's 2nd Congressional District since 2001, anchors trader consensus at 85% implied probability for a Republican Party win in the November 2026 general election, driven by the district's strong GOP lean—Trump carried it by 14 points in 2024—and Wilson's fundraising edge exceeding $337,000 with no serious primary challengers ahead of the June 9, 2026, GOP primary. Democratic prospects languish at 15.5% amid a fragmented field including Dayna Alane Smith, Sam Gibbons, and Zyon Khalifa, lacking competitive polling or momentum. Candidate-specific outcomes like A, B, and Other hover around 50% due to early-stage uncertainty over nominees, but no developments in the past 30 days have altered the solid Republican path to victory, with focus shifting to primary results.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
자주 묻는 질문