Michigan’s 7th Congressional District remains a toss-up heading into the November 2026 general election, with the Democratic nominee favored in trader consensus due to the seat’s recent partisan flip, its status as a key battleground in a midterm cycle, and competitive Democratic primary polling among candidates including Bridget Brink, William Lawrence, and Matt Maasdam. Incumbent Republican Tom Barrett, who captured the district in 2024 after Elissa Slotkin’s Senate bid, faces a rematch environment where historical midterm patterns and fundraising dynamics support elevated Democratic chances. Race ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball classify the contest as toss-up, reflecting narrow margins in prior cycles and the district’s swing character centered around Lansing and surrounding counties. Upcoming August primaries and subsequent general-election polling will further shape positioning ahead of the November ballot.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트신규
신규
2026.11.04
Democratic Party
74%
Republican Party
22%
신규
신규
2026.11.04
Democratic Party
$5,741 거래량
74%
Republican Party
$1,951 거래량
22%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Michigan’s 7th Congressional District remains a toss-up heading into the November 2026 general election, with the Democratic nominee favored in trader consensus due to the seat’s recent partisan flip, its status as a key battleground in a midterm cycle, and competitive Democratic primary polling among candidates including Bridget Brink, William Lawrence, and Matt Maasdam. Incumbent Republican Tom Barrett, who captured the district in 2024 after Elissa Slotkin’s Senate bid, faces a rematch environment where historical midterm patterns and fundraising dynamics support elevated Democratic chances. Race ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball classify the contest as toss-up, reflecting narrow margins in prior cycles and the district’s swing character centered around Lansing and surrounding counties. Upcoming August primaries and subsequent general-election polling will further shape positioning ahead of the November ballot.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Dec 16, 2025, 12:01 PM ET
거래량
$7,691종료일
2026.11.04마켓 개설일
Dec 16, 2025, 12:01 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Michigan’s 7th Congressional District remains a toss-up heading into the November 2026 general election, with the Democratic nominee favored in trader consensus due to the seat’s recent partisan flip, its status as a key battleground in a midterm cycle, and competitive Democratic primary polling among candidates including Bridget Brink, William Lawrence, and Matt Maasdam. Incumbent Republican Tom Barrett, who captured the district in 2024 after Elissa Slotkin’s Senate bid, faces a rematch environment where historical midterm patterns and fundraising dynamics support elevated Democratic chances. Race ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball classify the contest as toss-up, reflecting narrow margins in prior cycles and the district’s swing character centered around Lansing and surrounding counties. Upcoming August primaries and subsequent general-election polling will further shape positioning ahead of the November ballot.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$7,691종료일
2026.11.04마켓 개설일
Dec 16, 2025, 12:01 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Michigan’s 7th Congressional District remains a toss-up heading into the November 2026 general election, with the Democratic nominee favored in trader consensus due to the seat’s recent partisan flip, its status as a key battleground in a midterm cycle, and competitive Democratic primary polling among candidates including Bridget Brink, William Lawrence, and Matt Maasdam. Incumbent Republican Tom Barrett, who captured the district in 2024 after Elissa Slotkin’s Senate bid, faces a rematch environment where historical midterm patterns and fundraising dynamics support elevated Democratic chances. Race ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball classify the contest as toss-up, reflecting narrow margins in prior cycles and the district’s swing character centered around Lansing and surrounding counties. Upcoming August primaries and subsequent general-election polling will further shape positioning ahead of the November ballot.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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