Maryland's 1st congressional district carries an R+8 Partisan Voter Index and receives solid or safe Republican ratings from major forecasters, reflecting its consistent support for GOP candidates in recent cycles. Incumbent Republican Andy Harris, who won reelection in 2024 with nearly 60 percent of the vote, faces no significant primary opposition, while Democratic contenders remain in an early June 2026 primary with limited visibility or fundraising signals. These structural factors, including the district's Eastern Shore and suburban composition, underpin trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee in the November general election. No major developments in the past month have altered the outlook.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$10,825 거래량
$10,825 거래량
2026.11.03
Republican Party
67%
Democratic Party
22%
$10,825 거래량
$10,825 거래량
2026.11.03
Republican Party
$6,267 거래량
67%
Democratic Party
$4,558 거래량
22%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Maryland's 1st congressional district carries an R+8 Partisan Voter Index and receives solid or safe Republican ratings from major forecasters, reflecting its consistent support for GOP candidates in recent cycles. Incumbent Republican Andy Harris, who won reelection in 2024 with nearly 60 percent of the vote, faces no significant primary opposition, while Democratic contenders remain in an early June 2026 primary with limited visibility or fundraising signals. These structural factors, including the district's Eastern Shore and suburban composition, underpin trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee in the November general election. No major developments in the past month have altered the outlook.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
거래량
$10,825종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Maryland's 1st congressional district carries an R+8 Partisan Voter Index and receives solid or safe Republican ratings from major forecasters, reflecting its consistent support for GOP candidates in recent cycles. Incumbent Republican Andy Harris, who won reelection in 2024 with nearly 60 percent of the vote, faces no significant primary opposition, while Democratic contenders remain in an early June 2026 primary with limited visibility or fundraising signals. These structural factors, including the district's Eastern Shore and suburban composition, underpin trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee in the November general election. No major developments in the past month have altered the outlook.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$10,825종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Maryland's 1st congressional district carries an R+8 Partisan Voter Index and receives solid or safe Republican ratings from major forecasters, reflecting its consistent support for GOP candidates in recent cycles. Incumbent Republican Andy Harris, who won reelection in 2024 with nearly 60 percent of the vote, faces no significant primary opposition, while Democratic contenders remain in an early June 2026 primary with limited visibility or fundraising signals. These structural factors, including the district's Eastern Shore and suburban composition, underpin trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee in the November general election. No major developments in the past month have altered the outlook.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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