Trader consensus prices the People Power Party (PPP) to win one seat at 39% in the June 3 National Assembly by-elections across at least four confirmed districts—Incheon Gyeyang-gu Eul, Chungcheong Asan-si Eul, Gyeonggi Pyeongtaek-si Eul, and Gyeonggi Ansan-si Gap—reflecting the party's nationwide approval slump to around 20% versus the Democratic Party of Korea's (DPK) 48% in recent Gallup Korea polls. Recent announcements by Rebuilding Korea Party leader Cho Kuk entering Pyeongtaek-si Eul vowing a PPP shutout, and former PPP head Han Dong-hoon eyeing an independent run in Busan Buk-gu Gap, have heightened competition and potential vote splits for conservatives. PPP drew 13 primary applicants for the four seats but faces candidate shortages and internal strife amid lagging local election prospects, positioning two or three wins as plausible but less likely amid DPK dominance.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트1 41.1%
2 23%
3 21%
0 13%
$25,253 거래량
$25,253 거래량
2026.06.03
0
13%
1
41%
2
23%
3
21%
4
5%
5석
1%
6석 이상
<1%
1 41.1%
2 23%
3 21%
0 13%
$25,253 거래량
$25,253 거래량
2026.06.03
0
$2,594 거래량
13%
1
$3,320 거래량
41%
2
$9,923 거래량
23%
3
$2,933 거래량
21%
4
$2,216 거래량
5%
5석
$1,128 거래량
1%
6석 이상
$3,139 거래량
<1%
At least four South Korean parliamentary seats will be contested in by-elections on June 3, 2026, held alongside the nationwide local elections taking place on the same day. Re-elections are equivalent to by-elections for the purposes of this market.
This market will resolve according to the number of National Assembly seats won by the People Power Party (PP) in parliamentary by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026.
Any seat won by the People Power Party in these elections will count, regardless of the party that controlled the relevant seat prior to these elections. Seats uncontested during the June 3 election will not have any impact on the resolution of this market.
If the results of these elections are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in these elections, not any coalition or alliance of which it may be a part.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (http://nec.go.kr/site/nec/main.do).
Note: this market includes any National Assembly seats contested in by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026, not just elections which are scheduled as of this market’s creation.Trader consensus prices the People Power Party (PPP) to win one seat at 39% in the June 3 National Assembly by-elections across at least four confirmed districts—Incheon Gyeyang-gu Eul, Chungcheong Asan-si Eul, Gyeonggi Pyeongtaek-si Eul, and Gyeonggi Ansan-si Gap—reflecting the party's nationwide approval slump to around 20% versus the Democratic Party of Korea's (DPK) 48% in recent Gallup Korea polls. Recent announcements by Rebuilding Korea Party leader Cho Kuk entering Pyeongtaek-si Eul vowing a PPP shutout, and former PPP head Han Dong-hoon eyeing an independent run in Busan Buk-gu Gap, have heightened competition and potential vote splits for conservatives. PPP drew 13 primary applicants for the four seats but faces candidate shortages and internal strife amid lagging local election prospects, positioning two or three wins as plausible but less likely amid DPK dominance.
At least four South Korean parliamentary seats will be contested in by-elections on June 3, 2026, held alongside the nationwide local elections taking place on the same day. Re-elections are equivalent to by-elections for the purposes of this market.
This market will resolve according to the number of National Assembly seats won by the People Power Party (PP) in parliamentary by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026.
Any seat won by the People Power Party in these elections will count, regardless of the party that controlled the relevant seat prior to these elections. Seats uncontested during the June 3 election will not have any impact on the resolution of this market.
If the results of these elections are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in these elections, not any coalition or alliance of which it may be a part.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (http://nec.go.kr/site/nec/main.do).
Note: this market includes any National Assembly seats contested in by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026, not just elections which are scheduled as of this market’s creation.
This market will resolve according to the number of National Assembly seats won by the People Power Party (PP) in parliamentary by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026.
Any seat won by the People Power Party in these elections will count, regardless of the party that controlled the relevant seat prior to these elections. Seats uncontested during the June 3 election will not have any impact on the resolution of this market.
If the results of these elections are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in these elections, not any coalition or alliance of which it may be a part.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (http://nec.go.kr/site/nec/main.do).
Note: this market includes any National Assembly seats contested in by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026, not just elections which are scheduled as of this market’s creation.
마켓 개설일: Feb 12, 2026, 4:14 PM ET
거래량
$25,253종료일
2026.06.03마켓 개설일
Feb 12, 2026, 4:14 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...At least four South Korean parliamentary seats will be contested in by-elections on June 3, 2026, held alongside the nationwide local elections taking place on the same day. Re-elections are equivalent to by-elections for the purposes of this market.
This market will resolve according to the number of National Assembly seats won by the People Power Party (PP) in parliamentary by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026.
Any seat won by the People Power Party in these elections will count, regardless of the party that controlled the relevant seat prior to these elections. Seats uncontested during the June 3 election will not have any impact on the resolution of this market.
If the results of these elections are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in these elections, not any coalition or alliance of which it may be a part.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (http://nec.go.kr/site/nec/main.do).
Note: this market includes any National Assembly seats contested in by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026, not just elections which are scheduled as of this market’s creation.Trader consensus prices the People Power Party (PPP) to win one seat at 39% in the June 3 National Assembly by-elections across at least four confirmed districts—Incheon Gyeyang-gu Eul, Chungcheong Asan-si Eul, Gyeonggi Pyeongtaek-si Eul, and Gyeonggi Ansan-si Gap—reflecting the party's nationwide approval slump to around 20% versus the Democratic Party of Korea's (DPK) 48% in recent Gallup Korea polls. Recent announcements by Rebuilding Korea Party leader Cho Kuk entering Pyeongtaek-si Eul vowing a PPP shutout, and former PPP head Han Dong-hoon eyeing an independent run in Busan Buk-gu Gap, have heightened competition and potential vote splits for conservatives. PPP drew 13 primary applicants for the four seats but faces candidate shortages and internal strife amid lagging local election prospects, positioning two or three wins as plausible but less likely amid DPK dominance.
At least four South Korean parliamentary seats will be contested in by-elections on June 3, 2026, held alongside the nationwide local elections taking place on the same day. Re-elections are equivalent to by-elections for the purposes of this market.
This market will resolve according to the number of National Assembly seats won by the People Power Party (PP) in parliamentary by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026.
Any seat won by the People Power Party in these elections will count, regardless of the party that controlled the relevant seat prior to these elections. Seats uncontested during the June 3 election will not have any impact on the resolution of this market.
If the results of these elections are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in these elections, not any coalition or alliance of which it may be a part.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (http://nec.go.kr/site/nec/main.do).
Note: this market includes any National Assembly seats contested in by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026, not just elections which are scheduled as of this market’s creation.
This market will resolve according to the number of National Assembly seats won by the People Power Party (PP) in parliamentary by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026.
Any seat won by the People Power Party in these elections will count, regardless of the party that controlled the relevant seat prior to these elections. Seats uncontested during the June 3 election will not have any impact on the resolution of this market.
If the results of these elections are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in these elections, not any coalition or alliance of which it may be a part.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (http://nec.go.kr/site/nec/main.do).
Note: this market includes any National Assembly seats contested in by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026, not just elections which are scheduled as of this market’s creation.
거래량
$25,253종료일
2026.06.03마켓 개설일
Feb 12, 2026, 4:14 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus prices the People Power Party (PPP) to win one seat at 39% in the June 3 National Assembly by-elections across at least four confirmed districts—Incheon Gyeyang-gu Eul, Chungcheong Asan-si Eul, Gyeonggi Pyeongtaek-si Eul, and Gyeonggi Ansan-si Gap—reflecting the party's nationwide approval slump to around 20% versus the Democratic Party of Korea's (DPK) 48% in recent Gallup Korea polls. Recent announcements by Rebuilding Korea Party leader Cho Kuk entering Pyeongtaek-si Eul vowing a PPP shutout, and former PPP head Han Dong-hoon eyeing an independent run in Busan Buk-gu Gap, have heightened competition and potential vote splits for conservatives. PPP drew 13 primary applicants for the four seats but faces candidate shortages and internal strife amid lagging local election prospects, positioning two or three wins as plausible but less likely amid DPK dominance.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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