Incumbent Rep. Vince Fong (R) drives the 90.5% Republican trader consensus in California's 20th Congressional District, a Central Valley seat with a Cook PVI of R+15 where Trump carried 65% in 2024. Fong's dominant 2024 victories—65% in the general election over fellow Republican Mike Boudreaux and 61% in the special—underscore his strength amid weak challengers in the June 2 top-two primary, including Democrat Sandra Van Scotter ($8,200 raised) and no-party-preference candidates with minimal funds compared to Fong's $1.4 million. Recent redistricting via Proposition 50 has not altered its Solid Republican ratings from Cook Political Report and others. Upsets would require a Fong scandal, primary surprise advancing two non-Republicans, or extraordinary national midterm wave favoring Democrats.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트신규
신규
2026.11.03
Republican Party
91%
Democratic Party
10%
신규
신규
2026.11.03
Republican Party
$3,356 거래량
91%
Democratic Party
$4,582 거래량
10%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-20 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Vince Fong (R) drives the 90.5% Republican trader consensus in California's 20th Congressional District, a Central Valley seat with a Cook PVI of R+15 where Trump carried 65% in 2024. Fong's dominant 2024 victories—65% in the general election over fellow Republican Mike Boudreaux and 61% in the special—underscore his strength amid weak challengers in the June 2 top-two primary, including Democrat Sandra Van Scotter ($8,200 raised) and no-party-preference candidates with minimal funds compared to Fong's $1.4 million. Recent redistricting via Proposition 50 has not altered its Solid Republican ratings from Cook Political Report and others. Upsets would require a Fong scandal, primary surprise advancing two non-Republicans, or extraordinary national midterm wave favoring Democrats.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-20 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
거래량
$7,938종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 12:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-20 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Vince Fong (R) drives the 90.5% Republican trader consensus in California's 20th Congressional District, a Central Valley seat with a Cook PVI of R+15 where Trump carried 65% in 2024. Fong's dominant 2024 victories—65% in the general election over fellow Republican Mike Boudreaux and 61% in the special—underscore his strength amid weak challengers in the June 2 top-two primary, including Democrat Sandra Van Scotter ($8,200 raised) and no-party-preference candidates with minimal funds compared to Fong's $1.4 million. Recent redistricting via Proposition 50 has not altered its Solid Republican ratings from Cook Political Report and others. Upsets would require a Fong scandal, primary surprise advancing two non-Republicans, or extraordinary national midterm wave favoring Democrats.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-20 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$7,938종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 12:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Rep. Vince Fong (R) drives the 90.5% Republican trader consensus in California's 20th Congressional District, a Central Valley seat with a Cook PVI of R+15 where Trump carried 65% in 2024. Fong's dominant 2024 victories—65% in the general election over fellow Republican Mike Boudreaux and 61% in the special—underscore his strength amid weak challengers in the June 2 top-two primary, including Democrat Sandra Van Scotter ($8,200 raised) and no-party-preference candidates with minimal funds compared to Fong's $1.4 million. Recent redistricting via Proposition 50 has not altered its Solid Republican ratings from Cook Political Report and others. Upsets would require a Fong scandal, primary surprise advancing two non-Republicans, or extraordinary national midterm wave favoring Democrats.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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