Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects skepticism toward the California One-Time Wealth Tax Initiative passing in the November 2026 ballot election, with "No" shares implying 63.5% probability despite recent polls showing 50-63% voter support. Recent UC Berkeley and SurveyUSA surveys indicate majority backing among likely voters, but opposition has intensified: tech billionaires pledged $35 million in March to fund rival ballot measures blocking or diluting the 5% one-time levy on net worth over $1 billion, while a Hoover Institution study in early April criticized its potential to trigger capital flight and fiscal losses amid reports of companies like KB Home relocating and assets shifting out of state. Divisions among Democrats and signature collection progress at 25% as of early March underscore uncertainties in qualification and turnout dynamics ahead of the general election.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트예
$2,932,548 거래량
$2,932,548 거래량
2026.11.03
예
$2,932,548 거래량
$2,932,548 거래량
2026.11.03
A one-time wealth tax on billionaires has been proposed to potentially appear on California's ballot for the November 3, 2026 general election. You can read more about that here: https://6abc.com/post/california-union-proposes-taxing-billionaires-offset-medicaid-cuts-low-income-people/18066430/
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any proposition containing a one-time tax targeting individuals, households, or family units with wealth, assets, or net worth of at least $1 billion (USD or equivalent) passes in the named election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no qualifying ballot initiative is certified to appear on the official statewide California ballot as a proposition to be voted on in the stated election by June 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (the official cutoff date for new initiatives to be approved), or if all qualifying propositions/initiatives are removed from the ballot or amended before the election such that the main threshold drops below $1 billion, this market will resolve "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the State of California, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects skepticism toward the California One-Time Wealth Tax Initiative passing in the November 2026 ballot election, with "No" shares implying 63.5% probability despite recent polls showing 50-63% voter support. Recent UC Berkeley and SurveyUSA surveys indicate majority backing among likely voters, but opposition has intensified: tech billionaires pledged $35 million in March to fund rival ballot measures blocking or diluting the 5% one-time levy on net worth over $1 billion, while a Hoover Institution study in early April criticized its potential to trigger capital flight and fiscal losses amid reports of companies like KB Home relocating and assets shifting out of state. Divisions among Democrats and signature collection progress at 25% as of early March underscore uncertainties in qualification and turnout dynamics ahead of the general election.
A one-time wealth tax on billionaires has been proposed to potentially appear on California's ballot for the November 3, 2026 general election. You can read more about that here: https://6abc.com/post/california-union-proposes-taxing-billionaires-offset-medicaid-cuts-low-income-people/18066430/
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any proposition containing a one-time tax targeting individuals, households, or family units with wealth, assets, or net worth of at least $1 billion (USD or equivalent) passes in the named election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no qualifying ballot initiative is certified to appear on the official statewide California ballot as a proposition to be voted on in the stated election by June 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (the official cutoff date for new initiatives to be approved), or if all qualifying propositions/initiatives are removed from the ballot or amended before the election such that the main threshold drops below $1 billion, this market will resolve "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the State of California, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any proposition containing a one-time tax targeting individuals, households, or family units with wealth, assets, or net worth of at least $1 billion (USD or equivalent) passes in the named election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no qualifying ballot initiative is certified to appear on the official statewide California ballot as a proposition to be voted on in the stated election by June 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (the official cutoff date for new initiatives to be approved), or if all qualifying propositions/initiatives are removed from the ballot or amended before the election such that the main threshold drops below $1 billion, this market will resolve "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the State of California, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
마켓 개설일: Oct 24, 2025, 3:48 PM ET
거래량
$2,932,548종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Oct 24, 2025, 3:48 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...A one-time wealth tax on billionaires has been proposed to potentially appear on California's ballot for the November 3, 2026 general election. You can read more about that here: https://6abc.com/post/california-union-proposes-taxing-billionaires-offset-medicaid-cuts-low-income-people/18066430/
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any proposition containing a one-time tax targeting individuals, households, or family units with wealth, assets, or net worth of at least $1 billion (USD or equivalent) passes in the named election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no qualifying ballot initiative is certified to appear on the official statewide California ballot as a proposition to be voted on in the stated election by June 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (the official cutoff date for new initiatives to be approved), or if all qualifying propositions/initiatives are removed from the ballot or amended before the election such that the main threshold drops below $1 billion, this market will resolve "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the State of California, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects skepticism toward the California One-Time Wealth Tax Initiative passing in the November 2026 ballot election, with "No" shares implying 63.5% probability despite recent polls showing 50-63% voter support. Recent UC Berkeley and SurveyUSA surveys indicate majority backing among likely voters, but opposition has intensified: tech billionaires pledged $35 million in March to fund rival ballot measures blocking or diluting the 5% one-time levy on net worth over $1 billion, while a Hoover Institution study in early April criticized its potential to trigger capital flight and fiscal losses amid reports of companies like KB Home relocating and assets shifting out of state. Divisions among Democrats and signature collection progress at 25% as of early March underscore uncertainties in qualification and turnout dynamics ahead of the general election.
A one-time wealth tax on billionaires has been proposed to potentially appear on California's ballot for the November 3, 2026 general election. You can read more about that here: https://6abc.com/post/california-union-proposes-taxing-billionaires-offset-medicaid-cuts-low-income-people/18066430/
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any proposition containing a one-time tax targeting individuals, households, or family units with wealth, assets, or net worth of at least $1 billion (USD or equivalent) passes in the named election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no qualifying ballot initiative is certified to appear on the official statewide California ballot as a proposition to be voted on in the stated election by June 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (the official cutoff date for new initiatives to be approved), or if all qualifying propositions/initiatives are removed from the ballot or amended before the election such that the main threshold drops below $1 billion, this market will resolve "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the State of California, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any proposition containing a one-time tax targeting individuals, households, or family units with wealth, assets, or net worth of at least $1 billion (USD or equivalent) passes in the named election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no qualifying ballot initiative is certified to appear on the official statewide California ballot as a proposition to be voted on in the stated election by June 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (the official cutoff date for new initiatives to be approved), or if all qualifying propositions/initiatives are removed from the ballot or amended before the election such that the main threshold drops below $1 billion, this market will resolve "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the State of California, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
거래량
$2,932,548종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Oct 24, 2025, 3:48 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects skepticism toward the California One-Time Wealth Tax Initiative passing in the November 2026 ballot election, with "No" shares implying 63.5% probability despite recent polls showing 50-63% voter support. Recent UC Berkeley and SurveyUSA surveys indicate majority backing among likely voters, but opposition has intensified: tech billionaires pledged $35 million in March to fund rival ballot measures blocking or diluting the 5% one-time levy on net worth over $1 billion, while a Hoover Institution study in early April criticized its potential to trigger capital flight and fiscal losses amid reports of companies like KB Home relocating and assets shifting out of state. Divisions among Democrats and signature collection progress at 25% as of early March underscore uncertainties in qualification and turnout dynamics ahead of the general election.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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