Incumbent Rep. David Kustoff's unopposed Republican primary bid on August 6 in solidly Republican Tennessee's 8th District (Cook PVI R+21) anchors trader consensus at 92.5% for the GOP, reflecting his consistent general election dominance—72% in 2024, 74% in 2022—and a weak Democratic field featuring Dewey Bryan and Leonard Perkins facing off in their primary, with minimal fundraising reported. Forecasters like Cook Political Report rate it Solid Republican, the 30th most GOP-friendly district nationally. Scenarios to challenge this include a late GOP primary upset, Kustoff scandal or health issue, or a Democratic nominee surging via national midterm wave and heavy outside spending before the November 3 general election.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Republican Party
93%
Democratic Party
8%
Republican Party
93%
Democratic Party
8%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Rep. David Kustoff's unopposed Republican primary bid on August 6 in solidly Republican Tennessee's 8th District (Cook PVI R+21) anchors trader consensus at 92.5% for the GOP, reflecting his consistent general election dominance—72% in 2024, 74% in 2022—and a weak Democratic field featuring Dewey Bryan and Leonard Perkins facing off in their primary, with minimal fundraising reported. Forecasters like Cook Political Report rate it Solid Republican, the 30th most GOP-friendly district nationally. Scenarios to challenge this include a late GOP primary upset, Kustoff scandal or health issue, or a Democratic nominee surging via national midterm wave and heavy outside spending before the November 3 general election.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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