Tennessee's 8th congressional district maintains a consistent Republican lean, reflected in its R+10 partisan voting index and the incumbent's 72 percent margin in the prior cycle. David Kustoff, the sitting Republican representative since 2017, faces limited opposition following the March 2026 filing deadline, with Democratic challengers such as Jordan Hinders showing minimal fundraising or organizational strength. Recent mid-decade redistricting added portions of Shelby County suburbs but preserved the district's rural western Tennessee core and overall partisan balance. Nonpartisan analysts rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican, aligning with trader consensus on the party's strong position ahead of the August primary and November general election. No major polling shifts or candidate withdrawals have altered this outlook in recent weeks.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$14,991 거래량
$14,991 거래량
2026.11.03
Republican Party
86%
Democratic Party
14%
$14,991 거래량
$14,991 거래량
2026.11.03
Republican Party
$10,091 거래량
86%
Democratic Party
$4,900 거래량
14%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Tennessee's 8th congressional district maintains a consistent Republican lean, reflected in its R+10 partisan voting index and the incumbent's 72 percent margin in the prior cycle. David Kustoff, the sitting Republican representative since 2017, faces limited opposition following the March 2026 filing deadline, with Democratic challengers such as Jordan Hinders showing minimal fundraising or organizational strength. Recent mid-decade redistricting added portions of Shelby County suburbs but preserved the district's rural western Tennessee core and overall partisan balance. Nonpartisan analysts rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican, aligning with trader consensus on the party's strong position ahead of the August primary and November general election. No major polling shifts or candidate withdrawals have altered this outlook in recent weeks.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
거래량
$14,991종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Tennessee's 8th congressional district maintains a consistent Republican lean, reflected in its R+10 partisan voting index and the incumbent's 72 percent margin in the prior cycle. David Kustoff, the sitting Republican representative since 2017, faces limited opposition following the March 2026 filing deadline, with Democratic challengers such as Jordan Hinders showing minimal fundraising or organizational strength. Recent mid-decade redistricting added portions of Shelby County suburbs but preserved the district's rural western Tennessee core and overall partisan balance. Nonpartisan analysts rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican, aligning with trader consensus on the party's strong position ahead of the August primary and November general election. No major polling shifts or candidate withdrawals have altered this outlook in recent weeks.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$14,991종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Tennessee's 8th congressional district maintains a consistent Republican lean, reflected in its R+10 partisan voting index and the incumbent's 72 percent margin in the prior cycle. David Kustoff, the sitting Republican representative since 2017, faces limited opposition following the March 2026 filing deadline, with Democratic challengers such as Jordan Hinders showing minimal fundraising or organizational strength. Recent mid-decade redistricting added portions of Shelby County suburbs but preserved the district's rural western Tennessee core and overall partisan balance. Nonpartisan analysts rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican, aligning with trader consensus on the party's strong position ahead of the August primary and November general election. No major polling shifts or candidate withdrawals have altered this outlook in recent weeks.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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