Incumbent Republican David Kustoff seeks re-election in Tennessee’s 8th congressional district, which carries a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+10 and delivered him 72 percent of the vote in 2024. The August 6 Republican primary features no serious challengers, while multiple lesser-known Democrats compete on the same date for the right to face Kustoff in the November general election. Recent congressional redistricting preserved the district’s rural West Tennessee core and eastern Memphis suburbs, maintaining its strong Republican tilt. With no major scandals, fundraising gaps, or polling shifts reported in the past month, trader consensus assigns the Republican Party an 86 percent implied probability of holding the seat.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$14,991 거래량
$14,991 거래량
2026.11.03
Republican Party
86%
Democratic Party
14%
$14,991 거래량
$14,991 거래량
2026.11.03
Republican Party
$10,091 거래량
86%
Democratic Party
$4,900 거래량
14%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican David Kustoff seeks re-election in Tennessee’s 8th congressional district, which carries a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+10 and delivered him 72 percent of the vote in 2024. The August 6 Republican primary features no serious challengers, while multiple lesser-known Democrats compete on the same date for the right to face Kustoff in the November general election. Recent congressional redistricting preserved the district’s rural West Tennessee core and eastern Memphis suburbs, maintaining its strong Republican tilt. With no major scandals, fundraising gaps, or polling shifts reported in the past month, trader consensus assigns the Republican Party an 86 percent implied probability of holding the seat.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
거래량
$14,991종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican David Kustoff seeks re-election in Tennessee’s 8th congressional district, which carries a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+10 and delivered him 72 percent of the vote in 2024. The August 6 Republican primary features no serious challengers, while multiple lesser-known Democrats compete on the same date for the right to face Kustoff in the November general election. Recent congressional redistricting preserved the district’s rural West Tennessee core and eastern Memphis suburbs, maintaining its strong Republican tilt. With no major scandals, fundraising gaps, or polling shifts reported in the past month, trader consensus assigns the Republican Party an 86 percent implied probability of holding the seat.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$14,991종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican David Kustoff seeks re-election in Tennessee’s 8th congressional district, which carries a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+10 and delivered him 72 percent of the vote in 2024. The August 6 Republican primary features no serious challengers, while multiple lesser-known Democrats compete on the same date for the right to face Kustoff in the November general election. Recent congressional redistricting preserved the district’s rural West Tennessee core and eastern Memphis suburbs, maintaining its strong Republican tilt. With no major scandals, fundraising gaps, or polling shifts reported in the past month, trader consensus assigns the Republican Party an 86 percent implied probability of holding the seat.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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