Virginia's 3rd Congressional District, rated Solid Democratic by the Cook Political Report with a D+18 partisan voting index, favors the Democratic Party at 91% trader consensus due to long-serving incumbent Rep. Bobby Scott's dominant 70% victory in 2024 and his re-election bid amid a token primary challenge from Justin Maffett. No Republican candidates have filed ahead of the May 26 deadline, underscoring the seat's entrenched blue status in Hampton Roads urban areas. Independents James Taylor and Dawn Vasquez pose negligible threats. Odds could shift with a high-profile GOP recruit, an unlikely Scott primary upset, national midterm wave dynamics, or unforeseen scandals before the August 4 primaries and November 3 general election.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$18,345 거래량
$18,345 거래량
Democratic Party
91%
Republican Party
8%
$18,345 거래량
$18,345 거래량
Democratic Party
91%
Republican Party
8%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Virginia's 3rd Congressional District, rated Solid Democratic by the Cook Political Report with a D+18 partisan voting index, favors the Democratic Party at 91% trader consensus due to long-serving incumbent Rep. Bobby Scott's dominant 70% victory in 2024 and his re-election bid amid a token primary challenge from Justin Maffett. No Republican candidates have filed ahead of the May 26 deadline, underscoring the seat's entrenched blue status in Hampton Roads urban areas. Independents James Taylor and Dawn Vasquez pose negligible threats. Odds could shift with a high-profile GOP recruit, an unlikely Scott primary upset, national midterm wave dynamics, or unforeseen scandals before the August 4 primaries and November 3 general election.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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