Ohio's 3rd congressional district features a pronounced Democratic structural advantage, reflected in its D+21 partisan voting index and consistent historical performance. Longtime incumbent Joyce Beatty secured her party's nomination without significant opposition in the May 2026 primary, while the Republican nominee faces an uphill path in a Columbus-centered seat that has favored Democrats by wide margins in recent cycles. Forecasters across major outlets rate the contest Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic. Trader consensus pricing at 93.5% for the Democratic nominee incorporates this baseline, though late-cycle factors such as an incumbent health event, major scandal, or sharp national partisan swing could still alter the trajectory before the November general election.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$33,550 거래량
$33,550 거래량
민주당
94%
공화당
6%
$33,550 거래량
$33,550 거래량
민주당
94%
공화당
6%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Ohio's 3rd congressional district features a pronounced Democratic structural advantage, reflected in its D+21 partisan voting index and consistent historical performance. Longtime incumbent Joyce Beatty secured her party's nomination without significant opposition in the May 2026 primary, while the Republican nominee faces an uphill path in a Columbus-centered seat that has favored Democrats by wide margins in recent cycles. Forecasters across major outlets rate the contest Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic. Trader consensus pricing at 93.5% for the Democratic nominee incorporates this baseline, though late-cycle factors such as an incumbent health event, major scandal, or sharp national partisan swing could still alter the trajectory before the November general election.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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