Incumbent Republican Russell Fry's reelection bid in the strongly Republican-leaning SC-07 district, rated Solid Republican by Cook Political Report and Safe Republican by Sabato's Crystal Ball, drives trader consensus toward an 89.5% implied probability for a GOP victory. The district's R+12 Cook Partisan Voting Index and 26-point Trump margin in 2024 underscore its reliability as a GOP stronghold, where Fry won 65%-35% last cycle. Recent March filings confirmed Fry faces only minor primary challengers Branden Brown and Adam Moye, while Democrat John Vincent—a retired Navy veteran and first-time candidate—remains significantly outfundraised. With the June 9 primary approaching, no major shifts have emerged to challenge this positioning absent scandals or turnout anomalies.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트신규
신규
2026.11.03
Republican Party
90%
Democratic Party
11%
신규
신규
2026.11.03
Republican Party
$3,670 거래량
90%
Democratic Party
$1,338 거래량
11%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Russell Fry's reelection bid in the strongly Republican-leaning SC-07 district, rated Solid Republican by Cook Political Report and Safe Republican by Sabato's Crystal Ball, drives trader consensus toward an 89.5% implied probability for a GOP victory. The district's R+12 Cook Partisan Voting Index and 26-point Trump margin in 2024 underscore its reliability as a GOP stronghold, where Fry won 65%-35% last cycle. Recent March filings confirmed Fry faces only minor primary challengers Branden Brown and Adam Moye, while Democrat John Vincent—a retired Navy veteran and first-time candidate—remains significantly outfundraised. With the June 9 primary approaching, no major shifts have emerged to challenge this positioning absent scandals or turnout anomalies.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
거래량
$5,008종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Russell Fry's reelection bid in the strongly Republican-leaning SC-07 district, rated Solid Republican by Cook Political Report and Safe Republican by Sabato's Crystal Ball, drives trader consensus toward an 89.5% implied probability for a GOP victory. The district's R+12 Cook Partisan Voting Index and 26-point Trump margin in 2024 underscore its reliability as a GOP stronghold, where Fry won 65%-35% last cycle. Recent March filings confirmed Fry faces only minor primary challengers Branden Brown and Adam Moye, while Democrat John Vincent—a retired Navy veteran and first-time candidate—remains significantly outfundraised. With the June 9 primary approaching, no major shifts have emerged to challenge this positioning absent scandals or turnout anomalies.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$5,008종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Russell Fry's reelection bid in the strongly Republican-leaning SC-07 district, rated Solid Republican by Cook Political Report and Safe Republican by Sabato's Crystal Ball, drives trader consensus toward an 89.5% implied probability for a GOP victory. The district's R+12 Cook Partisan Voting Index and 26-point Trump margin in 2024 underscore its reliability as a GOP stronghold, where Fry won 65%-35% last cycle. Recent March filings confirmed Fry faces only minor primary challengers Branden Brown and Adam Moye, while Democrat John Vincent—a retired Navy veteran and first-time candidate—remains significantly outfundraised. With the June 9 primary approaching, no major shifts have emerged to challenge this positioning absent scandals or turnout anomalies.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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