Ohio's 4th Congressional District remains a stronghold for Republicans under the new map enacted after October 2025 redistricting, with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+21 reflecting overwhelming GOP support in past presidential and midterm races, driving trader consensus to price a Republican House winner at 92%. Incumbent Jim Jordan, seeking a 10th term after cruising to reelection in 2024 with over 60% of the vote, faces no serious primary challengers ahead of the May 5, 2026, primaries, while Democrats field lesser-known candidates like Tamie Wilson, a repeat contender lacking resources or polling traction. Absent late-breaking developments such as a Jordan scandal, retirement announcement, health issue, or extraordinary national Democratic wave favoring midterms turnout in battlegrounds, the district's electoral math sustains this lopsided positioning.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트신규
신규
2026.11.03
Republican Party
92%
Democratic Party
8%
신규
신규
2026.11.03
Republican Party
$0 거래량
92%
Democratic Party
$389 거래량
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Ohio's 4th Congressional District remains a stronghold for Republicans under the new map enacted after October 2025 redistricting, with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+21 reflecting overwhelming GOP support in past presidential and midterm races, driving trader consensus to price a Republican House winner at 92%. Incumbent Jim Jordan, seeking a 10th term after cruising to reelection in 2024 with over 60% of the vote, faces no serious primary challengers ahead of the May 5, 2026, primaries, while Democrats field lesser-known candidates like Tamie Wilson, a repeat contender lacking resources or polling traction. Absent late-breaking developments such as a Jordan scandal, retirement announcement, health issue, or extraordinary national Democratic wave favoring midterms turnout in battlegrounds, the district's electoral math sustains this lopsided positioning.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
거래량
$389종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Ohio's 4th Congressional District remains a stronghold for Republicans under the new map enacted after October 2025 redistricting, with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+21 reflecting overwhelming GOP support in past presidential and midterm races, driving trader consensus to price a Republican House winner at 92%. Incumbent Jim Jordan, seeking a 10th term after cruising to reelection in 2024 with over 60% of the vote, faces no serious primary challengers ahead of the May 5, 2026, primaries, while Democrats field lesser-known candidates like Tamie Wilson, a repeat contender lacking resources or polling traction. Absent late-breaking developments such as a Jordan scandal, retirement announcement, health issue, or extraordinary national Democratic wave favoring midterms turnout in battlegrounds, the district's electoral math sustains this lopsided positioning.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$389종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Ohio's 4th Congressional District remains a stronghold for Republicans under the new map enacted after October 2025 redistricting, with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+21 reflecting overwhelming GOP support in past presidential and midterm races, driving trader consensus to price a Republican House winner at 92%. Incumbent Jim Jordan, seeking a 10th term after cruising to reelection in 2024 with over 60% of the vote, faces no serious primary challengers ahead of the May 5, 2026, primaries, while Democrats field lesser-known candidates like Tamie Wilson, a repeat contender lacking resources or polling traction. Absent late-breaking developments such as a Jordan scandal, retirement announcement, health issue, or extraordinary national Democratic wave favoring midterms turnout in battlegrounds, the district's electoral math sustains this lopsided positioning.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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