Incumbent Democrat Jimmy Gomez leads a crowded top-two primary field in California's 34th Congressional District, a Solid Democratic seat per Cook Political Report with a D+28 partisan voting index—ranking among the nation's most reliably blue districts, where 73% supported the Democratic presidential nominee in 2024. Historical races have consistently advanced two Democrats to the November general under California's top-two system, with Gomez securing reelection by double digits amid weak Republican opposition, including sole GOP contender Calvin Lee, who placed third in the 2024 primary. Gomez's fundraising dominance, with over $650,000 cash on hand as of late 2025, bolsters trader consensus at 94.5% for a Democratic winner ahead of the June 2 primary. Upsets remain possible via a major scandal, national Republican wave, or anomalously low Democratic turnout splintering the primary vote.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$20,843 거래량
$20,843 거래량
2026.11.03
Democratic Party
95%
Republican Party
5%
$20,843 거래량
$20,843 거래량
2026.11.03
Democratic Party
$6,837 거래량
95%
Republican Party
$14,006 거래량
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-34 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Jimmy Gomez leads a crowded top-two primary field in California's 34th Congressional District, a Solid Democratic seat per Cook Political Report with a D+28 partisan voting index—ranking among the nation's most reliably blue districts, where 73% supported the Democratic presidential nominee in 2024. Historical races have consistently advanced two Democrats to the November general under California's top-two system, with Gomez securing reelection by double digits amid weak Republican opposition, including sole GOP contender Calvin Lee, who placed third in the 2024 primary. Gomez's fundraising dominance, with over $650,000 cash on hand as of late 2025, bolsters trader consensus at 94.5% for a Democratic winner ahead of the June 2 primary. Upsets remain possible via a major scandal, national Republican wave, or anomalously low Democratic turnout splintering the primary vote.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-34 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ET
거래량
$20,843종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-34 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Jimmy Gomez leads a crowded top-two primary field in California's 34th Congressional District, a Solid Democratic seat per Cook Political Report with a D+28 partisan voting index—ranking among the nation's most reliably blue districts, where 73% supported the Democratic presidential nominee in 2024. Historical races have consistently advanced two Democrats to the November general under California's top-two system, with Gomez securing reelection by double digits amid weak Republican opposition, including sole GOP contender Calvin Lee, who placed third in the 2024 primary. Gomez's fundraising dominance, with over $650,000 cash on hand as of late 2025, bolsters trader consensus at 94.5% for a Democratic winner ahead of the June 2 primary. Upsets remain possible via a major scandal, national Republican wave, or anomalously low Democratic turnout splintering the primary vote.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-34 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$20,843종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Jimmy Gomez leads a crowded top-two primary field in California's 34th Congressional District, a Solid Democratic seat per Cook Political Report with a D+28 partisan voting index—ranking among the nation's most reliably blue districts, where 73% supported the Democratic presidential nominee in 2024. Historical races have consistently advanced two Democrats to the November general under California's top-two system, with Gomez securing reelection by double digits amid weak Republican opposition, including sole GOP contender Calvin Lee, who placed third in the 2024 primary. Gomez's fundraising dominance, with over $650,000 cash on hand as of late 2025, bolsters trader consensus at 94.5% for a Democratic winner ahead of the June 2 primary. Upsets remain possible via a major scandal, national Republican wave, or anomalously low Democratic turnout splintering the primary vote.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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