Incumbent Democrat Sarah McBride's strong position drives trader consensus at 92.5% for the Democratic Party in Delaware's at-large House race, reflecting her 2024 general election victory by 16 points, $2.2 million cash-on-hand advantage, and the district's D+8 partisan voting index per Cook Political Report, rated Solid Democratic across forecasters. No notable developments have occurred in the past 30 days, with Republican primary challengers Earl Cooper, Donyale Hall, and Lee Murphy showing minimal fundraising. Scenarios that could shift odds include a high-profile GOP recruit before the July 14 filing deadline, McBride facing a credible primary opponent on September 15, or unforeseen scandals, legal issues, or a national midterm wave, though structural barriers favor Democrats.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트신규
신규
2026.11.03
Democratic Party
93%
Republican Party
7%
신규
신규
2026.11.03
Democratic Party
$629 거래량
93%
Republican Party
$123 거래량
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the DE-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Sarah McBride's strong position drives trader consensus at 92.5% for the Democratic Party in Delaware's at-large House race, reflecting her 2024 general election victory by 16 points, $2.2 million cash-on-hand advantage, and the district's D+8 partisan voting index per Cook Political Report, rated Solid Democratic across forecasters. No notable developments have occurred in the past 30 days, with Republican primary challengers Earl Cooper, Donyale Hall, and Lee Murphy showing minimal fundraising. Scenarios that could shift odds include a high-profile GOP recruit before the July 14 filing deadline, McBride facing a credible primary opponent on September 15, or unforeseen scandals, legal issues, or a national midterm wave, though structural barriers favor Democrats.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the DE-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
거래량
$752종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the DE-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Sarah McBride's strong position drives trader consensus at 92.5% for the Democratic Party in Delaware's at-large House race, reflecting her 2024 general election victory by 16 points, $2.2 million cash-on-hand advantage, and the district's D+8 partisan voting index per Cook Political Report, rated Solid Democratic across forecasters. No notable developments have occurred in the past 30 days, with Republican primary challengers Earl Cooper, Donyale Hall, and Lee Murphy showing minimal fundraising. Scenarios that could shift odds include a high-profile GOP recruit before the July 14 filing deadline, McBride facing a credible primary opponent on September 15, or unforeseen scandals, legal issues, or a national midterm wave, though structural barriers favor Democrats.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the DE-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$752종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Sarah McBride's strong position drives trader consensus at 92.5% for the Democratic Party in Delaware's at-large House race, reflecting her 2024 general election victory by 16 points, $2.2 million cash-on-hand advantage, and the district's D+8 partisan voting index per Cook Political Report, rated Solid Democratic across forecasters. No notable developments have occurred in the past 30 days, with Republican primary challengers Earl Cooper, Donyale Hall, and Lee Murphy showing minimal fundraising. Scenarios that could shift odds include a high-profile GOP recruit before the July 14 filing deadline, McBride facing a credible primary opponent on September 15, or unforeseen scandals, legal issues, or a national midterm wave, though structural barriers favor Democrats.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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