Incumbent Democratic Representative Val Hoyle secured her party's nomination in the May 2026 primary with roughly 75 percent of the vote against challengers, positioning her for a third term in the November general election. Oregon's 4th district, encompassing areas around Eugene and the central coast, maintains a consistent Democratic lean reinforced by prior election margins and Cook Political Report's Solid D rating. Republican nominee Monique DeSpain advanced from her primary but faces structural headwinds in a district where Democratic candidates have prevailed in recent cycles. Trader consensus at 88.5 percent for the Democratic Party reflects these fundamentals and the absence of major shifts in voter registration or national political conditions that would alter the competitive landscape ahead of the November 3 contest.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$11,774 거래량
$11,774 거래량
2026.11.03
Democratic Party
89%
Republican Party
7%
$11,774 거래량
$11,774 거래량
2026.11.03
Democratic Party
$9,149 거래량
89%
Republican Party
$2,626 거래량
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democratic Representative Val Hoyle secured her party's nomination in the May 2026 primary with roughly 75 percent of the vote against challengers, positioning her for a third term in the November general election. Oregon's 4th district, encompassing areas around Eugene and the central coast, maintains a consistent Democratic lean reinforced by prior election margins and Cook Political Report's Solid D rating. Republican nominee Monique DeSpain advanced from her primary but faces structural headwinds in a district where Democratic candidates have prevailed in recent cycles. Trader consensus at 88.5 percent for the Democratic Party reflects these fundamentals and the absence of major shifts in voter registration or national political conditions that would alter the competitive landscape ahead of the November 3 contest.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
거래량
$11,774종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democratic Representative Val Hoyle secured her party's nomination in the May 2026 primary with roughly 75 percent of the vote against challengers, positioning her for a third term in the November general election. Oregon's 4th district, encompassing areas around Eugene and the central coast, maintains a consistent Democratic lean reinforced by prior election margins and Cook Political Report's Solid D rating. Republican nominee Monique DeSpain advanced from her primary but faces structural headwinds in a district where Democratic candidates have prevailed in recent cycles. Trader consensus at 88.5 percent for the Democratic Party reflects these fundamentals and the absence of major shifts in voter registration or national political conditions that would alter the competitive landscape ahead of the November 3 contest.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$11,774종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democratic Representative Val Hoyle secured her party's nomination in the May 2026 primary with roughly 75 percent of the vote against challengers, positioning her for a third term in the November general election. Oregon's 4th district, encompassing areas around Eugene and the central coast, maintains a consistent Democratic lean reinforced by prior election margins and Cook Political Report's Solid D rating. Republican nominee Monique DeSpain advanced from her primary but faces structural headwinds in a district where Democratic candidates have prevailed in recent cycles. Trader consensus at 88.5 percent for the Democratic Party reflects these fundamentals and the absence of major shifts in voter registration or national political conditions that would alter the competitive landscape ahead of the November 3 contest.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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