Incumbent Gil Cisneros secured the Democratic nomination in the June 2 primary with a commanding share of the vote and faces Republican Eric Ching in the November general election. California’s 31st district, centered in the San Gabriel Valley, carries a solid Democratic partisan voting index that has consistently favored the party in recent cycles. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat as Solid Democratic, reflecting voter registration advantages, fundraising edges for the incumbent, and limited Republican infrastructure in the district. Trader consensus at 94.5% for Democrats aligns with these structural factors, though a late-breaking national political shift, candidate health event, or unforeseen scandal could still alter the trajectory before November.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트CA-31 House Election Winner
CA-31 House Election Winner
$10,524 거래량
$10,524 거래량
2026.11.03
Democratic Party
94%
Republican Party
6%
$10,524 거래량
$10,524 거래량
2026.11.03
Democratic Party
$7,255 거래량
94%
Republican Party
$3,269 거래량
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-31 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Gil Cisneros secured the Democratic nomination in the June 2 primary with a commanding share of the vote and faces Republican Eric Ching in the November general election. California’s 31st district, centered in the San Gabriel Valley, carries a solid Democratic partisan voting index that has consistently favored the party in recent cycles. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat as Solid Democratic, reflecting voter registration advantages, fundraising edges for the incumbent, and limited Republican infrastructure in the district. Trader consensus at 94.5% for Democrats aligns with these structural factors, though a late-breaking national political shift, candidate health event, or unforeseen scandal could still alter the trajectory before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-31 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ET
거래량
$10,524종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-31 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Gil Cisneros secured the Democratic nomination in the June 2 primary with a commanding share of the vote and faces Republican Eric Ching in the November general election. California’s 31st district, centered in the San Gabriel Valley, carries a solid Democratic partisan voting index that has consistently favored the party in recent cycles. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat as Solid Democratic, reflecting voter registration advantages, fundraising edges for the incumbent, and limited Republican infrastructure in the district. Trader consensus at 94.5% for Democrats aligns with these structural factors, though a late-breaking national political shift, candidate health event, or unforeseen scandal could still alter the trajectory before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-31 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$10,524종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Gil Cisneros secured the Democratic nomination in the June 2 primary with a commanding share of the vote and faces Republican Eric Ching in the November general election. California’s 31st district, centered in the San Gabriel Valley, carries a solid Democratic partisan voting index that has consistently favored the party in recent cycles. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat as Solid Democratic, reflecting voter registration advantages, fundraising edges for the incumbent, and limited Republican infrastructure in the district. Trader consensus at 94.5% for Democrats aligns with these structural factors, though a late-breaking national political shift, candidate health event, or unforeseen scandal could still alter the trajectory before November.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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