Tennessee's 4th congressional district maintains a strong Republican tilt after mid-decade redistricting, with analysts rating it Solid or Safe Republican based on a simulated Trump margin of roughly 24 points. Incumbent Scott DesJarlais faces multiple primary challengers ahead of the August 6, 2026 primary but benefits from established name recognition and the district's consistent GOP performance in recent cycles. Multiple Democratic candidates are competing in their August primary, yet forecasters see little path to a general-election upset on November 3. Trader consensus at 90.5% Republican reflects these structural advantages and the absence of competitive polling or major shifts in voter sentiment. A late scandal, unusually high Democratic turnout, or unexpected national wave could narrow margins, though such developments remain low-probability given the district's partisan baseline.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$11,088 거래량
$11,088 거래량
2026.11.03
Republican Party
91%
Democratic Party
10%
$11,088 거래량
$11,088 거래량
2026.11.03
Republican Party
$4,268 거래량
91%
Democratic Party
$6,820 거래량
10%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Tennessee's 4th congressional district maintains a strong Republican tilt after mid-decade redistricting, with analysts rating it Solid or Safe Republican based on a simulated Trump margin of roughly 24 points. Incumbent Scott DesJarlais faces multiple primary challengers ahead of the August 6, 2026 primary but benefits from established name recognition and the district's consistent GOP performance in recent cycles. Multiple Democratic candidates are competing in their August primary, yet forecasters see little path to a general-election upset on November 3. Trader consensus at 90.5% Republican reflects these structural advantages and the absence of competitive polling or major shifts in voter sentiment. A late scandal, unusually high Democratic turnout, or unexpected national wave could narrow margins, though such developments remain low-probability given the district's partisan baseline.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
거래량
$11,088종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Tennessee's 4th congressional district maintains a strong Republican tilt after mid-decade redistricting, with analysts rating it Solid or Safe Republican based on a simulated Trump margin of roughly 24 points. Incumbent Scott DesJarlais faces multiple primary challengers ahead of the August 6, 2026 primary but benefits from established name recognition and the district's consistent GOP performance in recent cycles. Multiple Democratic candidates are competing in their August primary, yet forecasters see little path to a general-election upset on November 3. Trader consensus at 90.5% Republican reflects these structural advantages and the absence of competitive polling or major shifts in voter sentiment. A late scandal, unusually high Democratic turnout, or unexpected national wave could narrow margins, though such developments remain low-probability given the district's partisan baseline.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$11,088종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Tennessee's 4th congressional district maintains a strong Republican tilt after mid-decade redistricting, with analysts rating it Solid or Safe Republican based on a simulated Trump margin of roughly 24 points. Incumbent Scott DesJarlais faces multiple primary challengers ahead of the August 6, 2026 primary but benefits from established name recognition and the district's consistent GOP performance in recent cycles. Multiple Democratic candidates are competing in their August primary, yet forecasters see little path to a general-election upset on November 3. Trader consensus at 90.5% Republican reflects these structural advantages and the absence of competitive polling or major shifts in voter sentiment. A late scandal, unusually high Democratic turnout, or unexpected national wave could narrow margins, though such developments remain low-probability given the district's partisan baseline.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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