Tennessee's 4th congressional district remains a strongly Republican seat under the newly redrawn map, with forecasters rating the race Solid or Safe Republican ahead of the August 6 primaries and November general election. Incumbent Rep. Scott DesJarlais benefits from the district's partisan voting index and its projected 2024 Trump margin of roughly two dozen points, even after boundary adjustments that added some Nashville-area territory. Multiple Democratic primary candidates have filed, but none appear positioned to mount a serious general election challenge in this environment. Trader consensus at over 90% for the Republican nominee reflects the district's structural advantages, historical results, and absence of polling or events suggesting a competitive contest. Late developments such as a major scandal, incumbent withdrawal, or an unexpected national Democratic surge could still introduce volatility before November.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$11,088 거래량
$11,088 거래량
2026.11.03
Republican Party
91%
Democratic Party
10%
$11,088 거래량
$11,088 거래량
2026.11.03
Republican Party
$4,268 거래량
91%
Democratic Party
$6,820 거래량
10%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Tennessee's 4th congressional district remains a strongly Republican seat under the newly redrawn map, with forecasters rating the race Solid or Safe Republican ahead of the August 6 primaries and November general election. Incumbent Rep. Scott DesJarlais benefits from the district's partisan voting index and its projected 2024 Trump margin of roughly two dozen points, even after boundary adjustments that added some Nashville-area territory. Multiple Democratic primary candidates have filed, but none appear positioned to mount a serious general election challenge in this environment. Trader consensus at over 90% for the Republican nominee reflects the district's structural advantages, historical results, and absence of polling or events suggesting a competitive contest. Late developments such as a major scandal, incumbent withdrawal, or an unexpected national Democratic surge could still introduce volatility before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
거래량
$11,088종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Tennessee's 4th congressional district remains a strongly Republican seat under the newly redrawn map, with forecasters rating the race Solid or Safe Republican ahead of the August 6 primaries and November general election. Incumbent Rep. Scott DesJarlais benefits from the district's partisan voting index and its projected 2024 Trump margin of roughly two dozen points, even after boundary adjustments that added some Nashville-area territory. Multiple Democratic primary candidates have filed, but none appear positioned to mount a serious general election challenge in this environment. Trader consensus at over 90% for the Republican nominee reflects the district's structural advantages, historical results, and absence of polling or events suggesting a competitive contest. Late developments such as a major scandal, incumbent withdrawal, or an unexpected national Democratic surge could still introduce volatility before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$11,088종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Tennessee's 4th congressional district remains a strongly Republican seat under the newly redrawn map, with forecasters rating the race Solid or Safe Republican ahead of the August 6 primaries and November general election. Incumbent Rep. Scott DesJarlais benefits from the district's partisan voting index and its projected 2024 Trump margin of roughly two dozen points, even after boundary adjustments that added some Nashville-area territory. Multiple Democratic primary candidates have filed, but none appear positioned to mount a serious general election challenge in this environment. Trader consensus at over 90% for the Republican nominee reflects the district's structural advantages, historical results, and absence of polling or events suggesting a competitive contest. Late developments such as a major scandal, incumbent withdrawal, or an unexpected national Democratic surge could still introduce volatility before November.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
자주 묻는 질문