Incumbent Rep. Suzanne Bonamici's strong fundraising and the district's deep-blue partisan lean, reflected in a D+20 Cook Partisan Voting Index encompassing Portland's western suburbs and North Coast areas, anchor trader consensus at 92.5% odds for a Democratic House win in OR-01. Bonamici faces token primary opposition ahead of Oregon's May 19 contest, while Republicans field unproven candidates like Barbara Kahl amid no recent polling. Historical reelection margins exceeding 25 points reinforce this safe Democratic hold. Upsets remain possible via late scandals, incumbent health issues, or a national Republican midterm wave, though structural barriers make shifts unlikely absent major catalysts.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트신규
신규
2026.11.03
Democratic Party
93%
Republican Party
7%
신규
신규
2026.11.03
Democratic Party
$817 거래량
93%
Republican Party
$0 거래량
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Suzanne Bonamici's strong fundraising and the district's deep-blue partisan lean, reflected in a D+20 Cook Partisan Voting Index encompassing Portland's western suburbs and North Coast areas, anchor trader consensus at 92.5% odds for a Democratic House win in OR-01. Bonamici faces token primary opposition ahead of Oregon's May 19 contest, while Republicans field unproven candidates like Barbara Kahl amid no recent polling. Historical reelection margins exceeding 25 points reinforce this safe Democratic hold. Upsets remain possible via late scandals, incumbent health issues, or a national Republican midterm wave, though structural barriers make shifts unlikely absent major catalysts.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
거래량
$817종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Suzanne Bonamici's strong fundraising and the district's deep-blue partisan lean, reflected in a D+20 Cook Partisan Voting Index encompassing Portland's western suburbs and North Coast areas, anchor trader consensus at 92.5% odds for a Democratic House win in OR-01. Bonamici faces token primary opposition ahead of Oregon's May 19 contest, while Republicans field unproven candidates like Barbara Kahl amid no recent polling. Historical reelection margins exceeding 25 points reinforce this safe Democratic hold. Upsets remain possible via late scandals, incumbent health issues, or a national Republican midterm wave, though structural barriers make shifts unlikely absent major catalysts.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$817종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Rep. Suzanne Bonamici's strong fundraising and the district's deep-blue partisan lean, reflected in a D+20 Cook Partisan Voting Index encompassing Portland's western suburbs and North Coast areas, anchor trader consensus at 92.5% odds for a Democratic House win in OR-01. Bonamici faces token primary opposition ahead of Oregon's May 19 contest, while Republicans field unproven candidates like Barbara Kahl amid no recent polling. Historical reelection margins exceeding 25 points reinforce this safe Democratic hold. Upsets remain possible via late scandals, incumbent health issues, or a national Republican midterm wave, though structural barriers make shifts unlikely absent major catalysts.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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