Incumbent Republican Trent Kelly secured the GOP nomination unopposed in the March 10, 2026, primary with 100% of the vote, facing Democratic civil rights attorney Cliff Johnson, who won his primary 66%-34%, in Mississippi's 1st Congressional District—a solidly Republican seat with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+18 and Kelly's prior general election margins exceeding 69%. Strong historical Republican performance, including 68% for the GOP presidential candidate in 2024 district results, combined with Kelly's fundraising edge ($738,000 cash on hand vs. Johnson's $65,000) drives trader consensus to a 92.5% implied probability for Republicans. While commanding, odds could shift via late-breaking scandals, health events, or a national Democratic midterm surge ahead of the November 3 general election.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$84,175 거래량
$84,175 거래량
2026.11.03
공화당
93%
민주당
6%
$84,175 거래량
$84,175 거래량
2026.11.03
공화당
$66,096 거래량
93%
민주당
$18,079 거래량
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Trent Kelly secured the GOP nomination unopposed in the March 10, 2026, primary with 100% of the vote, facing Democratic civil rights attorney Cliff Johnson, who won his primary 66%-34%, in Mississippi's 1st Congressional District—a solidly Republican seat with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+18 and Kelly's prior general election margins exceeding 69%. Strong historical Republican performance, including 68% for the GOP presidential candidate in 2024 district results, combined with Kelly's fundraising edge ($738,000 cash on hand vs. Johnson's $65,000) drives trader consensus to a 92.5% implied probability for Republicans. While commanding, odds could shift via late-breaking scandals, health events, or a national Democratic midterm surge ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
거래량
$84,175종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Trent Kelly secured the GOP nomination unopposed in the March 10, 2026, primary with 100% of the vote, facing Democratic civil rights attorney Cliff Johnson, who won his primary 66%-34%, in Mississippi's 1st Congressional District—a solidly Republican seat with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+18 and Kelly's prior general election margins exceeding 69%. Strong historical Republican performance, including 68% for the GOP presidential candidate in 2024 district results, combined with Kelly's fundraising edge ($738,000 cash on hand vs. Johnson's $65,000) drives trader consensus to a 92.5% implied probability for Republicans. While commanding, odds could shift via late-breaking scandals, health events, or a national Democratic midterm surge ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$84,175종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Trent Kelly secured the GOP nomination unopposed in the March 10, 2026, primary with 100% of the vote, facing Democratic civil rights attorney Cliff Johnson, who won his primary 66%-34%, in Mississippi's 1st Congressional District—a solidly Republican seat with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+18 and Kelly's prior general election margins exceeding 69%. Strong historical Republican performance, including 68% for the GOP presidential candidate in 2024 district results, combined with Kelly's fundraising edge ($738,000 cash on hand vs. Johnson's $65,000) drives trader consensus to a 92.5% implied probability for Republicans. While commanding, odds could shift via late-breaking scandals, health events, or a national Democratic midterm surge ahead of the November 3 general election.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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