Incumbent Republican John Moolenaar's re-election bid in Michigan's 2nd Congressional District, rated Solid Republican by Cook Political Report with an R+15 partisan voting index, drives trader consensus at 91.5% for the Republican Party. The district's conservative Western Michigan base delivered Moolenaar 65% in 2024 and aligns with 64% Republican presidential support, bolstered by his $1.7 million cash-on-hand versus Democrats' minimal fundraising amid a fragmented primary field of four low-profile challengers. With the April 21 filing deadline approaching and no GOP opposition, structural advantages solidify the outlook absent polling shifts. Realistic challenges include a late high-profile Democratic recruit, Moolenaar scandal, or national midterm wave boosting Democratic turnout.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$31,208 거래량
$31,208 거래량
2026.11.03
공화당
92%
민주당
9%
$31,208 거래량
$31,208 거래량
2026.11.03
공화당
$16,856 거래량
92%
민주당
$14,352 거래량
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican John Moolenaar's re-election bid in Michigan's 2nd Congressional District, rated Solid Republican by Cook Political Report with an R+15 partisan voting index, drives trader consensus at 91.5% for the Republican Party. The district's conservative Western Michigan base delivered Moolenaar 65% in 2024 and aligns with 64% Republican presidential support, bolstered by his $1.7 million cash-on-hand versus Democrats' minimal fundraising amid a fragmented primary field of four low-profile challengers. With the April 21 filing deadline approaching and no GOP opposition, structural advantages solidify the outlook absent polling shifts. Realistic challenges include a late high-profile Democratic recruit, Moolenaar scandal, or national midterm wave boosting Democratic turnout.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
거래량
$31,208종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican John Moolenaar's re-election bid in Michigan's 2nd Congressional District, rated Solid Republican by Cook Political Report with an R+15 partisan voting index, drives trader consensus at 91.5% for the Republican Party. The district's conservative Western Michigan base delivered Moolenaar 65% in 2024 and aligns with 64% Republican presidential support, bolstered by his $1.7 million cash-on-hand versus Democrats' minimal fundraising amid a fragmented primary field of four low-profile challengers. With the April 21 filing deadline approaching and no GOP opposition, structural advantages solidify the outlook absent polling shifts. Realistic challenges include a late high-profile Democratic recruit, Moolenaar scandal, or national midterm wave boosting Democratic turnout.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$31,208종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican John Moolenaar's re-election bid in Michigan's 2nd Congressional District, rated Solid Republican by Cook Political Report with an R+15 partisan voting index, drives trader consensus at 91.5% for the Republican Party. The district's conservative Western Michigan base delivered Moolenaar 65% in 2024 and aligns with 64% Republican presidential support, bolstered by his $1.7 million cash-on-hand versus Democrats' minimal fundraising amid a fragmented primary field of four low-profile challengers. With the April 21 filing deadline approaching and no GOP opposition, structural advantages solidify the outlook absent polling shifts. Realistic challenges include a late high-profile Democratic recruit, Moolenaar scandal, or national midterm wave boosting Democratic turnout.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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