Incumbent Democrat Sean Casten secured the party nomination in the March 2026 primary with roughly 76 percent of the vote and faces Republican nominee Niki Conforti in the November general election for Illinois’s 6th congressional district. The southwest Chicago suburbs district has favored Democratic candidates in recent cycles, and Casten’s 2024 reelection margin plus consistent ratings as a Solid or Safe Democratic seat by multiple forecasters underpin the current trader consensus. Stronger fundraising by the incumbent and the absence of competitive general-election polling further reinforce this positioning. Late developments such as a national political shift, unexpected scandal, or unusually high Republican turnout in the suburban electorate represent the primary factors that could narrow the gap before Election Day.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$31,630 거래량
$31,630 거래량
2026.11.03
민주당
95%
공화당
5%
$31,630 거래량
$31,630 거래량
2026.11.03
민주당
$11,925 거래량
95%
공화당
$19,705 거래량
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Sean Casten secured the party nomination in the March 2026 primary with roughly 76 percent of the vote and faces Republican nominee Niki Conforti in the November general election for Illinois’s 6th congressional district. The southwest Chicago suburbs district has favored Democratic candidates in recent cycles, and Casten’s 2024 reelection margin plus consistent ratings as a Solid or Safe Democratic seat by multiple forecasters underpin the current trader consensus. Stronger fundraising by the incumbent and the absence of competitive general-election polling further reinforce this positioning. Late developments such as a national political shift, unexpected scandal, or unusually high Republican turnout in the suburban electorate represent the primary factors that could narrow the gap before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
거래량
$31,630종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Sean Casten secured the party nomination in the March 2026 primary with roughly 76 percent of the vote and faces Republican nominee Niki Conforti in the November general election for Illinois’s 6th congressional district. The southwest Chicago suburbs district has favored Democratic candidates in recent cycles, and Casten’s 2024 reelection margin plus consistent ratings as a Solid or Safe Democratic seat by multiple forecasters underpin the current trader consensus. Stronger fundraising by the incumbent and the absence of competitive general-election polling further reinforce this positioning. Late developments such as a national political shift, unexpected scandal, or unusually high Republican turnout in the suburban electorate represent the primary factors that could narrow the gap before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$31,630종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Sean Casten secured the party nomination in the March 2026 primary with roughly 76 percent of the vote and faces Republican nominee Niki Conforti in the November general election for Illinois’s 6th congressional district. The southwest Chicago suburbs district has favored Democratic candidates in recent cycles, and Casten’s 2024 reelection margin plus consistent ratings as a Solid or Safe Democratic seat by multiple forecasters underpin the current trader consensus. Stronger fundraising by the incumbent and the absence of competitive general-election polling further reinforce this positioning. Late developments such as a national political shift, unexpected scandal, or unusually high Republican turnout in the suburban electorate represent the primary factors that could narrow the gap before Election Day.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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