Incumbent Republican Nick LaLota seeks re-election in New York's 1st congressional district, a Long Island seat with a Partisan Voter Index of R+4 that he carried by roughly 11 points in 2024. Forecasters rate the race Solid Republican, reflecting the district's structural tilt and LaLota's established incumbency advantage ahead of the November 2026 general election. Democrats face an unresolved June 23 primary among lesser-known candidates, delaying clarity on the general-election matchup and contributing to the current trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee at 56 percent. No major polling or campaign developments have shifted positioning in recent weeks.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$30,511 거래량
$30,511 거래량
2026.11.03
공화당
57%
민주당
43%
$30,511 거래량
$30,511 거래량
2026.11.03
공화당
$9,091 거래량
57%
민주당
$21,421 거래량
43%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Nick LaLota seeks re-election in New York's 1st congressional district, a Long Island seat with a Partisan Voter Index of R+4 that he carried by roughly 11 points in 2024. Forecasters rate the race Solid Republican, reflecting the district's structural tilt and LaLota's established incumbency advantage ahead of the November 2026 general election. Democrats face an unresolved June 23 primary among lesser-known candidates, delaying clarity on the general-election matchup and contributing to the current trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee at 56 percent. No major polling or campaign developments have shifted positioning in recent weeks.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ET
거래량
$30,511종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Nick LaLota seeks re-election in New York's 1st congressional district, a Long Island seat with a Partisan Voter Index of R+4 that he carried by roughly 11 points in 2024. Forecasters rate the race Solid Republican, reflecting the district's structural tilt and LaLota's established incumbency advantage ahead of the November 2026 general election. Democrats face an unresolved June 23 primary among lesser-known candidates, delaying clarity on the general-election matchup and contributing to the current trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee at 56 percent. No major polling or campaign developments have shifted positioning in recent weeks.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$30,511종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Nick LaLota seeks re-election in New York's 1st congressional district, a Long Island seat with a Partisan Voter Index of R+4 that he carried by roughly 11 points in 2024. Forecasters rate the race Solid Republican, reflecting the district's structural tilt and LaLota's established incumbency advantage ahead of the November 2026 general election. Democrats face an unresolved June 23 primary among lesser-known candidates, delaying clarity on the general-election matchup and contributing to the current trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee at 56 percent. No major polling or campaign developments have shifted positioning in recent weeks.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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