Incumbent Republican Nick LaLota holds a narrow edge in the NY-01 House race, reflected in the 52% Republican versus 44.5% Democratic trader consensus, due to the district’s Republican-leaning partisan voting index and his prior 55% general election performance. The June 23 Democratic primary between Christopher Gallant and Lukas Ventouras remains the immediate focus, with candidates still building name recognition and fundraising against the sitting member’s established resources. A late-2025 poll showed LaLota ahead of a generic opponent by three points, underscoring the competitive but contained nature of the contest. Separation could emerge after primary resolution, once general-election messaging, turnout patterns among Long Island voters, and any late-cycle national headwinds clarify the path to November 3.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$30,511 거래량
$30,511 거래량
2026.11.03
공화당
56%
민주당
43%
$30,511 거래량
$30,511 거래량
2026.11.03
공화당
$9,091 거래량
56%
민주당
$21,421 거래량
43%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Nick LaLota holds a narrow edge in the NY-01 House race, reflected in the 52% Republican versus 44.5% Democratic trader consensus, due to the district’s Republican-leaning partisan voting index and his prior 55% general election performance. The June 23 Democratic primary between Christopher Gallant and Lukas Ventouras remains the immediate focus, with candidates still building name recognition and fundraising against the sitting member’s established resources. A late-2025 poll showed LaLota ahead of a generic opponent by three points, underscoring the competitive but contained nature of the contest. Separation could emerge after primary resolution, once general-election messaging, turnout patterns among Long Island voters, and any late-cycle national headwinds clarify the path to November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ET
거래량
$30,511종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Nick LaLota holds a narrow edge in the NY-01 House race, reflected in the 52% Republican versus 44.5% Democratic trader consensus, due to the district’s Republican-leaning partisan voting index and his prior 55% general election performance. The June 23 Democratic primary between Christopher Gallant and Lukas Ventouras remains the immediate focus, with candidates still building name recognition and fundraising against the sitting member’s established resources. A late-2025 poll showed LaLota ahead of a generic opponent by three points, underscoring the competitive but contained nature of the contest. Separation could emerge after primary resolution, once general-election messaging, turnout patterns among Long Island voters, and any late-cycle national headwinds clarify the path to November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$30,511종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Nick LaLota holds a narrow edge in the NY-01 House race, reflected in the 52% Republican versus 44.5% Democratic trader consensus, due to the district’s Republican-leaning partisan voting index and his prior 55% general election performance. The June 23 Democratic primary between Christopher Gallant and Lukas Ventouras remains the immediate focus, with candidates still building name recognition and fundraising against the sitting member’s established resources. A late-2025 poll showed LaLota ahead of a generic opponent by three points, underscoring the competitive but contained nature of the contest. Separation could emerge after primary resolution, once general-election messaging, turnout patterns among Long Island voters, and any late-cycle national headwinds clarify the path to November 3.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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