Republican incumbent Rudy Yakym faces Democratic nominee Jamee Decio in Indiana’s 2nd congressional district for the November 2026 general election. Yakym secured his party’s nomination unopposed in the May primary after winning 62.7 percent in 2024, while the district’s consistent Republican tilt and limited Democratic infrastructure underpin trader pricing that heavily favors the GOP. Nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as solid or safe Republican. The implied probability reflects the district’s voting history and early-cycle dynamics rather than any single poll. A realistic shift would require either a major scandal affecting Yakym or an unusually strong national Democratic environment that overcomes the seat’s structural Republican advantage.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트신규
신규
2026.11.03
Republican Party
94%
Democratic Party
7%
신규
신규
2026.11.03
Republican Party
$2,582 거래량
94%
Democratic Party
$2,079 거래량
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent Rudy Yakym faces Democratic nominee Jamee Decio in Indiana’s 2nd congressional district for the November 2026 general election. Yakym secured his party’s nomination unopposed in the May primary after winning 62.7 percent in 2024, while the district’s consistent Republican tilt and limited Democratic infrastructure underpin trader pricing that heavily favors the GOP. Nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as solid or safe Republican. The implied probability reflects the district’s voting history and early-cycle dynamics rather than any single poll. A realistic shift would require either a major scandal affecting Yakym or an unusually strong national Democratic environment that overcomes the seat’s structural Republican advantage.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
거래량
$4,661종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent Rudy Yakym faces Democratic nominee Jamee Decio in Indiana’s 2nd congressional district for the November 2026 general election. Yakym secured his party’s nomination unopposed in the May primary after winning 62.7 percent in 2024, while the district’s consistent Republican tilt and limited Democratic infrastructure underpin trader pricing that heavily favors the GOP. Nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as solid or safe Republican. The implied probability reflects the district’s voting history and early-cycle dynamics rather than any single poll. A realistic shift would require either a major scandal affecting Yakym or an unusually strong national Democratic environment that overcomes the seat’s structural Republican advantage.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$4,661종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Republican incumbent Rudy Yakym faces Democratic nominee Jamee Decio in Indiana’s 2nd congressional district for the November 2026 general election. Yakym secured his party’s nomination unopposed in the May primary after winning 62.7 percent in 2024, while the district’s consistent Republican tilt and limited Democratic infrastructure underpin trader pricing that heavily favors the GOP. Nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as solid or safe Republican. The implied probability reflects the district’s voting history and early-cycle dynamics rather than any single poll. A realistic shift would require either a major scandal affecting Yakym or an unusually strong national Democratic environment that overcomes the seat’s structural Republican advantage.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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