Republican nominee Tim Moore holds a clear edge in North Carolina’s 14th congressional district due to the seat’s established Republican tilt, reflected in an R+8 partisan voting index and prior Trump support near 15 points. Moore, the incumbent and former state House speaker, secured his party’s nomination with 83 percent in the March primary, while Democrat Lakesha Womack advanced as the general-election challenger. Multiple nonpartisan ratings classify the race as Solid Republican, consistent with the post-2025 redistricting map. The 75.5 percent Republican implied probability aligns with the district’s structural advantages and limited recent shifts since the primaries concluded, though general-election dynamics through November could still influence final margins.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$18,951 거래량
$18,951 거래량
2026.11.03
공화당
76%
민주당
25%
$18,951 거래량
$18,951 거래량
2026.11.03
공화당
$6,108 거래량
76%
민주당
$12,843 거래량
25%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican nominee Tim Moore holds a clear edge in North Carolina’s 14th congressional district due to the seat’s established Republican tilt, reflected in an R+8 partisan voting index and prior Trump support near 15 points. Moore, the incumbent and former state House speaker, secured his party’s nomination with 83 percent in the March primary, while Democrat Lakesha Womack advanced as the general-election challenger. Multiple nonpartisan ratings classify the race as Solid Republican, consistent with the post-2025 redistricting map. The 75.5 percent Republican implied probability aligns with the district’s structural advantages and limited recent shifts since the primaries concluded, though general-election dynamics through November could still influence final margins.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
거래량
$18,951종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican nominee Tim Moore holds a clear edge in North Carolina’s 14th congressional district due to the seat’s established Republican tilt, reflected in an R+8 partisan voting index and prior Trump support near 15 points. Moore, the incumbent and former state House speaker, secured his party’s nomination with 83 percent in the March primary, while Democrat Lakesha Womack advanced as the general-election challenger. Multiple nonpartisan ratings classify the race as Solid Republican, consistent with the post-2025 redistricting map. The 75.5 percent Republican implied probability aligns with the district’s structural advantages and limited recent shifts since the primaries concluded, though general-election dynamics through November could still influence final margins.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$18,951종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Republican nominee Tim Moore holds a clear edge in North Carolina’s 14th congressional district due to the seat’s established Republican tilt, reflected in an R+8 partisan voting index and prior Trump support near 15 points. Moore, the incumbent and former state House speaker, secured his party’s nomination with 83 percent in the March primary, while Democrat Lakesha Womack advanced as the general-election challenger. Multiple nonpartisan ratings classify the race as Solid Republican, consistent with the post-2025 redistricting map. The 75.5 percent Republican implied probability aligns with the district’s structural advantages and limited recent shifts since the primaries concluded, though general-election dynamics through November could still influence final margins.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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