Longtime Democratic incumbent Gregory Meeks anchors the strong trader consensus favoring his party in the NY-05 House race, reflecting the district’s deep partisan lean and history of large Democratic margins. Meeks, first elected in 1998 and re-elected with nearly 73 percent in 2024, advanced through the June 2026 primary with minimal opposition and retains substantial campaign resources against Republican nominee George Marsh. The seat’s structural advantages, including urban demographics in Queens and Nassau counties, have produced consistent double-digit Democratic victories that limit realistic paths for a Republican upset. Scenarios that could still alter the outcome include an unexpected national political shift, a major scandal affecting the incumbent, or unusually high Republican turnout, though historical patterns suggest such developments rarely overcome the district’s established voting patterns before the November general election.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$23,998 거래량
$23,998 거래량
2026.11.03
민주당
95%
공화당
6%
$23,998 거래량
$23,998 거래량
2026.11.03
민주당
$16,222 거래량
95%
공화당
$7,777 거래량
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Longtime Democratic incumbent Gregory Meeks anchors the strong trader consensus favoring his party in the NY-05 House race, reflecting the district’s deep partisan lean and history of large Democratic margins. Meeks, first elected in 1998 and re-elected with nearly 73 percent in 2024, advanced through the June 2026 primary with minimal opposition and retains substantial campaign resources against Republican nominee George Marsh. The seat’s structural advantages, including urban demographics in Queens and Nassau counties, have produced consistent double-digit Democratic victories that limit realistic paths for a Republican upset. Scenarios that could still alter the outcome include an unexpected national political shift, a major scandal affecting the incumbent, or unusually high Republican turnout, though historical patterns suggest such developments rarely overcome the district’s established voting patterns before the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ET
거래량
$23,998종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Longtime Democratic incumbent Gregory Meeks anchors the strong trader consensus favoring his party in the NY-05 House race, reflecting the district’s deep partisan lean and history of large Democratic margins. Meeks, first elected in 1998 and re-elected with nearly 73 percent in 2024, advanced through the June 2026 primary with minimal opposition and retains substantial campaign resources against Republican nominee George Marsh. The seat’s structural advantages, including urban demographics in Queens and Nassau counties, have produced consistent double-digit Democratic victories that limit realistic paths for a Republican upset. Scenarios that could still alter the outcome include an unexpected national political shift, a major scandal affecting the incumbent, or unusually high Republican turnout, though historical patterns suggest such developments rarely overcome the district’s established voting patterns before the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$23,998종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Longtime Democratic incumbent Gregory Meeks anchors the strong trader consensus favoring his party in the NY-05 House race, reflecting the district’s deep partisan lean and history of large Democratic margins. Meeks, first elected in 1998 and re-elected with nearly 73 percent in 2024, advanced through the June 2026 primary with minimal opposition and retains substantial campaign resources against Republican nominee George Marsh. The seat’s structural advantages, including urban demographics in Queens and Nassau counties, have produced consistent double-digit Democratic victories that limit realistic paths for a Republican upset. Scenarios that could still alter the outcome include an unexpected national political shift, a major scandal affecting the incumbent, or unusually high Republican turnout, though historical patterns suggest such developments rarely overcome the district’s established voting patterns before the November general election.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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