Arizona's 3rd congressional district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+22, making it the state's most Democratic-leaning seat and supporting the strong trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Incumbent Representative Yassamin Ansari is seeking re-election in the July 21 primary ahead of the November general, with nonpartisan race ratings classifying the contest as Solid or Safe Democratic. These structural factors, including consistent historical voting patterns and limited Republican recruitment in the district, underpin the current implied probabilities. Late developments such as an unexpected primary upset, candidate withdrawal, or major national political shift could still influence the outcome before November.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$14,714 거래량
$14,714 거래량
2026.11.03
민주당
94%
공화당
6%
$14,714 거래량
$14,714 거래량
2026.11.03
민주당
$9,121 거래량
94%
공화당
$5,594 거래량
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Arizona's 3rd congressional district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+22, making it the state's most Democratic-leaning seat and supporting the strong trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Incumbent Representative Yassamin Ansari is seeking re-election in the July 21 primary ahead of the November general, with nonpartisan race ratings classifying the contest as Solid or Safe Democratic. These structural factors, including consistent historical voting patterns and limited Republican recruitment in the district, underpin the current implied probabilities. Late developments such as an unexpected primary upset, candidate withdrawal, or major national political shift could still influence the outcome before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
거래량
$14,714종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Arizona's 3rd congressional district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+22, making it the state's most Democratic-leaning seat and supporting the strong trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Incumbent Representative Yassamin Ansari is seeking re-election in the July 21 primary ahead of the November general, with nonpartisan race ratings classifying the contest as Solid or Safe Democratic. These structural factors, including consistent historical voting patterns and limited Republican recruitment in the district, underpin the current implied probabilities. Late developments such as an unexpected primary upset, candidate withdrawal, or major national political shift could still influence the outcome before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$14,714종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Arizona's 3rd congressional district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+22, making it the state's most Democratic-leaning seat and supporting the strong trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Incumbent Representative Yassamin Ansari is seeking re-election in the July 21 primary ahead of the November general, with nonpartisan race ratings classifying the contest as Solid or Safe Democratic. These structural factors, including consistent historical voting patterns and limited Republican recruitment in the district, underpin the current implied probabilities. Late developments such as an unexpected primary upset, candidate withdrawal, or major national political shift could still influence the outcome before November.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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