Recent polls for California's June 2 top-two primary show Republican Steve Hilton leading or tied for second at 18-25%, positioning him to advance alongside a Democrat amid a fragmented field including Tom Steyer (16-21%), Katie Porter (8-14%), and others, driving trader consensus to 76% odds for a Dem-Rep matchup. Democrat Eric Swalwell's abrupt dropout last week following sexual misconduct allegations further splintered the Democratic vote, boosting Hilton's path per April surveys from SurveyUSA, Impact Research, and others. A GOP convention split endorsement between Hilton and Sheriff Chad Bianco underscores Republican competitiveness without consolidation risks, while Dem-Dem odds at 21% reflect potential late Democratic consolidation; Rep-Rep remains slim at 3.4% given no polls projecting dual GOP advancement in the blue state.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Dem-Rep 76%
Dem-Dem 21%
Rep-Rep 3.4%
$57,349 거래량
$57,349 거래량
2026.06.02
Dem-Rep
76%
Dem-Dem
21%
Rep-Rep
3%
Dem-Rep 76%
Dem-Dem 21%
Rep-Rep 3.4%
$57,349 거래량
$57,349 거래량
2026.06.02
Dem-Rep
$24,665 거래량
76%
Dem-Dem
$24,707 거래량
21%
Rep-Rep
$7,977 거래량
3%
The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California.
This market will resolve according to the party affiliation of the listed candidates who advance from the primary to the general election for Governor of California. A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with a party.
In case any combination of parties advances that is not listed here, including all scenarios where an independent candidate advances, this market will resolve to "Other".
If no 2026 California gubernatorial primary takes place by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.Recent polls for California's June 2 top-two primary show Republican Steve Hilton leading or tied for second at 18-25%, positioning him to advance alongside a Democrat amid a fragmented field including Tom Steyer (16-21%), Katie Porter (8-14%), and others, driving trader consensus to 76% odds for a Dem-Rep matchup. Democrat Eric Swalwell's abrupt dropout last week following sexual misconduct allegations further splintered the Democratic vote, boosting Hilton's path per April surveys from SurveyUSA, Impact Research, and others. A GOP convention split endorsement between Hilton and Sheriff Chad Bianco underscores Republican competitiveness without consolidation risks, while Dem-Dem odds at 21% reflect potential late Democratic consolidation; Rep-Rep remains slim at 3.4% given no polls projecting dual GOP advancement in the blue state.
The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California.
This market will resolve according to the party affiliation of the listed candidates who advance from the primary to the general election for Governor of California. A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with a party.
In case any combination of parties advances that is not listed here, including all scenarios where an independent candidate advances, this market will resolve to "Other".
If no 2026 California gubernatorial primary takes place by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.
This market will resolve according to the party affiliation of the listed candidates who advance from the primary to the general election for Governor of California. A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with a party.
In case any combination of parties advances that is not listed here, including all scenarios where an independent candidate advances, this market will resolve to "Other".
If no 2026 California gubernatorial primary takes place by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.
마켓 개설일: Dec 22, 2025, 5:29 PM ET
거래량
$57,349종료일
2026.06.02마켓 개설일
Dec 22, 2025, 5:29 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California.
This market will resolve according to the party affiliation of the listed candidates who advance from the primary to the general election for Governor of California. A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with a party.
In case any combination of parties advances that is not listed here, including all scenarios where an independent candidate advances, this market will resolve to "Other".
If no 2026 California gubernatorial primary takes place by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.Recent polls for California's June 2 top-two primary show Republican Steve Hilton leading or tied for second at 18-25%, positioning him to advance alongside a Democrat amid a fragmented field including Tom Steyer (16-21%), Katie Porter (8-14%), and others, driving trader consensus to 76% odds for a Dem-Rep matchup. Democrat Eric Swalwell's abrupt dropout last week following sexual misconduct allegations further splintered the Democratic vote, boosting Hilton's path per April surveys from SurveyUSA, Impact Research, and others. A GOP convention split endorsement between Hilton and Sheriff Chad Bianco underscores Republican competitiveness without consolidation risks, while Dem-Dem odds at 21% reflect potential late Democratic consolidation; Rep-Rep remains slim at 3.4% given no polls projecting dual GOP advancement in the blue state.
The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California.
This market will resolve according to the party affiliation of the listed candidates who advance from the primary to the general election for Governor of California. A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with a party.
In case any combination of parties advances that is not listed here, including all scenarios where an independent candidate advances, this market will resolve to "Other".
If no 2026 California gubernatorial primary takes place by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.
This market will resolve according to the party affiliation of the listed candidates who advance from the primary to the general election for Governor of California. A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with a party.
In case any combination of parties advances that is not listed here, including all scenarios where an independent candidate advances, this market will resolve to "Other".
If no 2026 California gubernatorial primary takes place by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.
거래량
$57,349종료일
2026.06.02마켓 개설일
Dec 22, 2025, 5:29 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent polls for California's June 2 top-two primary show Republican Steve Hilton leading or tied for second at 18-25%, positioning him to advance alongside a Democrat amid a fragmented field including Tom Steyer (16-21%), Katie Porter (8-14%), and others, driving trader consensus to 76% odds for a Dem-Rep matchup. Democrat Eric Swalwell's abrupt dropout last week following sexual misconduct allegations further splintered the Democratic vote, boosting Hilton's path per April surveys from SurveyUSA, Impact Research, and others. A GOP convention split endorsement between Hilton and Sheriff Chad Bianco underscores Republican competitiveness without consolidation risks, while Dem-Dem odds at 21% reflect potential late Democratic consolidation; Rep-Rep remains slim at 3.4% given no polls projecting dual GOP advancement in the blue state.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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