Trader consensus prices Democratic Party victory at 91.5% in California's 7th Congressional District House race, reflecting the district's Solid Democratic rating from Cook Political Report and Safe Democratic status per Sabato's Crystal Ball, bolstered by incumbent Rep. Doris Matsui's fundraising dominance ($1.3 million raised) and historical margins exceeding 65% in recent generals. With the June 2 top-two primary approaching—where Matsui leads challenger Sacramento Councilmember Mai Vang amid four Democrats and two underfunded Republicans—the matchup will likely pit two Democrats against each other in November. GOP prospects remain dim absent a fundraising surge or national Republican wave, though a primary upset advancing a Republican or a late scandal could shift odds.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Democratic Party
92%
Republican Party
9%
Democratic Party
92%
Republican Party
9%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus prices Democratic Party victory at 91.5% in California's 7th Congressional District House race, reflecting the district's Solid Democratic rating from Cook Political Report and Safe Democratic status per Sabato's Crystal Ball, bolstered by incumbent Rep. Doris Matsui's fundraising dominance ($1.3 million raised) and historical margins exceeding 65% in recent generals. With the June 2 top-two primary approaching—where Matsui leads challenger Sacramento Councilmember Mai Vang amid four Democrats and two underfunded Republicans—the matchup will likely pit two Democrats against each other in November. GOP prospects remain dim absent a fundraising surge or national Republican wave, though a primary upset advancing a Republican or a late scandal could shift odds.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
자주 묻는 질문