Bennie Thompson, the longtime Democratic incumbent, secured his party's nomination in Mississippi's 2nd Congressional District with over 86% of the primary vote on March 10, 2026, while Republican Ron Eller narrowly won his nomination. The district, which covers much of the Mississippi Delta and is the state's only majority-Black seat with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+11, has consistently delivered strong Democratic margins, including Thompson's 62% victory in 2024. Traders price the Democratic outcome at 89% because the seat's structural partisan lean and Thompson's established position create high barriers for any Republican challenger ahead of the November general election.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$26,090 거래량
$26,090 거래량
2026.11.03
Democratic Party
89%
Republican Party
11%
$26,090 거래량
$26,090 거래량
2026.11.03
Democratic Party
$13,765 거래량
89%
Republican Party
$12,325 거래량
11%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Bennie Thompson, the longtime Democratic incumbent, secured his party's nomination in Mississippi's 2nd Congressional District with over 86% of the primary vote on March 10, 2026, while Republican Ron Eller narrowly won his nomination. The district, which covers much of the Mississippi Delta and is the state's only majority-Black seat with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+11, has consistently delivered strong Democratic margins, including Thompson's 62% victory in 2024. Traders price the Democratic outcome at 89% because the seat's structural partisan lean and Thompson's established position create high barriers for any Republican challenger ahead of the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
거래량
$26,090종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Bennie Thompson, the longtime Democratic incumbent, secured his party's nomination in Mississippi's 2nd Congressional District with over 86% of the primary vote on March 10, 2026, while Republican Ron Eller narrowly won his nomination. The district, which covers much of the Mississippi Delta and is the state's only majority-Black seat with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+11, has consistently delivered strong Democratic margins, including Thompson's 62% victory in 2024. Traders price the Democratic outcome at 89% because the seat's structural partisan lean and Thompson's established position create high barriers for any Republican challenger ahead of the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$26,090종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Bennie Thompson, the longtime Democratic incumbent, secured his party's nomination in Mississippi's 2nd Congressional District with over 86% of the primary vote on March 10, 2026, while Republican Ron Eller narrowly won his nomination. The district, which covers much of the Mississippi Delta and is the state's only majority-Black seat with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+11, has consistently delivered strong Democratic margins, including Thompson's 62% victory in 2024. Traders price the Democratic outcome at 89% because the seat's structural partisan lean and Thompson's established position create high barriers for any Republican challenger ahead of the November general election.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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