Bennie Thompson's decisive victory in the March 2026 Democratic primary for Mississippi's 2nd Congressional District, where he captured roughly 86 percent of the vote against challengers, reinforces his position as the clear general election frontrunner. The district's consistent Democratic performance, reflected in its Solid D rating and strong partisan voting index, stems from its majority-minority composition across the Delta region and Jackson area. Republican nominee Ron Eller faces structural barriers in a seat last won by a Democrat with 62 percent in 2024. Traders' 89 percent consensus on the Democratic outcome aligns with historical base rates for such districts and limited recent shifts in voter registration or turnout patterns ahead of the November 3 general election.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$26,090 거래량
$26,090 거래량
2026.11.03
Democratic Party
89%
Republican Party
12%
$26,090 거래량
$26,090 거래량
2026.11.03
Democratic Party
$13,765 거래량
89%
Republican Party
$12,325 거래량
12%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Bennie Thompson's decisive victory in the March 2026 Democratic primary for Mississippi's 2nd Congressional District, where he captured roughly 86 percent of the vote against challengers, reinforces his position as the clear general election frontrunner. The district's consistent Democratic performance, reflected in its Solid D rating and strong partisan voting index, stems from its majority-minority composition across the Delta region and Jackson area. Republican nominee Ron Eller faces structural barriers in a seat last won by a Democrat with 62 percent in 2024. Traders' 89 percent consensus on the Democratic outcome aligns with historical base rates for such districts and limited recent shifts in voter registration or turnout patterns ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
거래량
$26,090종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Bennie Thompson's decisive victory in the March 2026 Democratic primary for Mississippi's 2nd Congressional District, where he captured roughly 86 percent of the vote against challengers, reinforces his position as the clear general election frontrunner. The district's consistent Democratic performance, reflected in its Solid D rating and strong partisan voting index, stems from its majority-minority composition across the Delta region and Jackson area. Republican nominee Ron Eller faces structural barriers in a seat last won by a Democrat with 62 percent in 2024. Traders' 89 percent consensus on the Democratic outcome aligns with historical base rates for such districts and limited recent shifts in voter registration or turnout patterns ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$26,090종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Bennie Thompson's decisive victory in the March 2026 Democratic primary for Mississippi's 2nd Congressional District, where he captured roughly 86 percent of the vote against challengers, reinforces his position as the clear general election frontrunner. The district's consistent Democratic performance, reflected in its Solid D rating and strong partisan voting index, stems from its majority-minority composition across the Delta region and Jackson area. Republican nominee Ron Eller faces structural barriers in a seat last won by a Democrat with 62 percent in 2024. Traders' 89 percent consensus on the Democratic outcome aligns with historical base rates for such districts and limited recent shifts in voter registration or turnout patterns ahead of the November 3 general election.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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