Incumbent Rep. Bennie Thompson's commanding 86% victory in the March 10 Democratic primary over challengers Evan Turnage and Pertis Williams III has solidified trader consensus favoring the Democratic Party at 91.5% in Mississippi's 2nd Congressional District general election on November 3. The district's Safe Democratic ratings from Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball, D+11 partisan voter index, and Thompson's history of 20-point margins since 1993 reflect entrenched advantages in this majority-minority seat centered on Jackson. Republican nominee Ron Eller's slim 51% primary win provides minimal upset potential absent a national GOP midterm wave, Thompson scandal, health issues prompting withdrawal, or unexpectedly strong independent Bennie Foster performance.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트신규
신규
2026.11.03
Democratic Party
92%
Republican Party
9%
신규
신규
2026.11.03
Democratic Party
$800 거래량
92%
Republican Party
$617 거래량
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Bennie Thompson's commanding 86% victory in the March 10 Democratic primary over challengers Evan Turnage and Pertis Williams III has solidified trader consensus favoring the Democratic Party at 91.5% in Mississippi's 2nd Congressional District general election on November 3. The district's Safe Democratic ratings from Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball, D+11 partisan voter index, and Thompson's history of 20-point margins since 1993 reflect entrenched advantages in this majority-minority seat centered on Jackson. Republican nominee Ron Eller's slim 51% primary win provides minimal upset potential absent a national GOP midterm wave, Thompson scandal, health issues prompting withdrawal, or unexpectedly strong independent Bennie Foster performance.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
거래량
$1,417종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Bennie Thompson's commanding 86% victory in the March 10 Democratic primary over challengers Evan Turnage and Pertis Williams III has solidified trader consensus favoring the Democratic Party at 91.5% in Mississippi's 2nd Congressional District general election on November 3. The district's Safe Democratic ratings from Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball, D+11 partisan voter index, and Thompson's history of 20-point margins since 1993 reflect entrenched advantages in this majority-minority seat centered on Jackson. Republican nominee Ron Eller's slim 51% primary win provides minimal upset potential absent a national GOP midterm wave, Thompson scandal, health issues prompting withdrawal, or unexpectedly strong independent Bennie Foster performance.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$1,417종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Rep. Bennie Thompson's commanding 86% victory in the March 10 Democratic primary over challengers Evan Turnage and Pertis Williams III has solidified trader consensus favoring the Democratic Party at 91.5% in Mississippi's 2nd Congressional District general election on November 3. The district's Safe Democratic ratings from Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball, D+11 partisan voter index, and Thompson's history of 20-point margins since 1993 reflect entrenched advantages in this majority-minority seat centered on Jackson. Republican nominee Ron Eller's slim 51% primary win provides minimal upset potential absent a national GOP midterm wave, Thompson scandal, health issues prompting withdrawal, or unexpectedly strong independent Bennie Foster performance.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
자주 묻는 질문