Sam Liccardo, the Democratic incumbent in California's 16th congressional district, maintains a commanding position ahead of the November 2026 general election due to the seat's established Democratic partisan lean and consistent ratings as solid or safe Democratic from nonpartisan forecasters. Recent campaign finance data shows the incumbent holding a substantial fundraising edge over Republican challengers in the June 2 primary, while redistricting adjustments and voter registration patterns in the district have reinforced Democratic advantages in recent cycles. Trader consensus at these levels reflects the structural barriers for Republican candidates, though late developments such as shifts in national midterm sentiment, candidate withdrawals, or unforeseen primary outcomes could still alter the trajectory before the general election.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$76,668 거래량
$76,668 거래량
2026.11.03
민주당
93%
공화당
7%
$76,668 거래량
$76,668 거래량
2026.11.03
민주당
$49,124 거래량
93%
공화당
$27,544 거래량
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Sam Liccardo, the Democratic incumbent in California's 16th congressional district, maintains a commanding position ahead of the November 2026 general election due to the seat's established Democratic partisan lean and consistent ratings as solid or safe Democratic from nonpartisan forecasters. Recent campaign finance data shows the incumbent holding a substantial fundraising edge over Republican challengers in the June 2 primary, while redistricting adjustments and voter registration patterns in the district have reinforced Democratic advantages in recent cycles. Trader consensus at these levels reflects the structural barriers for Republican candidates, though late developments such as shifts in national midterm sentiment, candidate withdrawals, or unforeseen primary outcomes could still alter the trajectory before the general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ET
거래량
$76,668종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Sam Liccardo, the Democratic incumbent in California's 16th congressional district, maintains a commanding position ahead of the November 2026 general election due to the seat's established Democratic partisan lean and consistent ratings as solid or safe Democratic from nonpartisan forecasters. Recent campaign finance data shows the incumbent holding a substantial fundraising edge over Republican challengers in the June 2 primary, while redistricting adjustments and voter registration patterns in the district have reinforced Democratic advantages in recent cycles. Trader consensus at these levels reflects the structural barriers for Republican candidates, though late developments such as shifts in national midterm sentiment, candidate withdrawals, or unforeseen primary outcomes could still alter the trajectory before the general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$76,668종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Sam Liccardo, the Democratic incumbent in California's 16th congressional district, maintains a commanding position ahead of the November 2026 general election due to the seat's established Democratic partisan lean and consistent ratings as solid or safe Democratic from nonpartisan forecasters. Recent campaign finance data shows the incumbent holding a substantial fundraising edge over Republican challengers in the June 2 primary, while redistricting adjustments and voter registration patterns in the district have reinforced Democratic advantages in recent cycles. Trader consensus at these levels reflects the structural barriers for Republican candidates, though late developments such as shifts in national midterm sentiment, candidate withdrawals, or unforeseen primary outcomes could still alter the trajectory before the general election.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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