Missouri’s 3rd congressional district maintains a pronounced Republican tilt, reflected in its Solid Republican rating from major forecasters and consistent past election margins exceeding 20 points. Incumbent Bob Onder’s decision to seek re-election anchors the Republican position ahead of the August 4, 2026 primaries, where he faces limited primary opposition, while Democratic contenders remain fragmented with no prominent statewide profile. District demographics, including suburban and rural conservative strongholds in St. Charles County and surrounding areas, reinforce this structural advantage. Trader consensus at 90.5% for the Republican nominee aligns with these fundamentals. Low-probability shifts could arise from a major scandal affecting the nominee, court-ordered redistricting changes, or unusually high opposition turnout in the November 3 general election.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트신규
신규
2026.11.03
Republican Party
91%
Democratic Party
10%
신규
신규
2026.11.03
Republican Party
$67 거래량
91%
Democratic Party
$5,603 거래량
10%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Missouri’s 3rd congressional district maintains a pronounced Republican tilt, reflected in its Solid Republican rating from major forecasters and consistent past election margins exceeding 20 points. Incumbent Bob Onder’s decision to seek re-election anchors the Republican position ahead of the August 4, 2026 primaries, where he faces limited primary opposition, while Democratic contenders remain fragmented with no prominent statewide profile. District demographics, including suburban and rural conservative strongholds in St. Charles County and surrounding areas, reinforce this structural advantage. Trader consensus at 90.5% for the Republican nominee aligns with these fundamentals. Low-probability shifts could arise from a major scandal affecting the nominee, court-ordered redistricting changes, or unusually high opposition turnout in the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
거래량
$5,670종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Missouri’s 3rd congressional district maintains a pronounced Republican tilt, reflected in its Solid Republican rating from major forecasters and consistent past election margins exceeding 20 points. Incumbent Bob Onder’s decision to seek re-election anchors the Republican position ahead of the August 4, 2026 primaries, where he faces limited primary opposition, while Democratic contenders remain fragmented with no prominent statewide profile. District demographics, including suburban and rural conservative strongholds in St. Charles County and surrounding areas, reinforce this structural advantage. Trader consensus at 90.5% for the Republican nominee aligns with these fundamentals. Low-probability shifts could arise from a major scandal affecting the nominee, court-ordered redistricting changes, or unusually high opposition turnout in the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$5,670종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Missouri’s 3rd congressional district maintains a pronounced Republican tilt, reflected in its Solid Republican rating from major forecasters and consistent past election margins exceeding 20 points. Incumbent Bob Onder’s decision to seek re-election anchors the Republican position ahead of the August 4, 2026 primaries, where he faces limited primary opposition, while Democratic contenders remain fragmented with no prominent statewide profile. District demographics, including suburban and rural conservative strongholds in St. Charles County and surrounding areas, reinforce this structural advantage. Trader consensus at 90.5% for the Republican nominee aligns with these fundamentals. Low-probability shifts could arise from a major scandal affecting the nominee, court-ordered redistricting changes, or unusually high opposition turnout in the November 3 general election.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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