Missouri’s 3rd congressional district carries an R+10 partisan voting index and has been rated Solid Republican or Safe Republican by Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball. Incumbent Republican Bob Onder, first elected in 2024, is seeking re-election in a seat that encompasses St. Charles County and extends westward, where Republican candidates have consistently prevailed by double-digit margins. Democratic primary contenders Tommy Holstein, Bethany Mann, and Paul Wilson face an August 4, 2026 filing and primary calendar that offers limited time for a unified challenge. Trader consensus at 90.5% Republican reflects these structural factors, though late developments such as a major scandal, health issue, or national political shift could still alter the outcome before the November 3 general election.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트신규
신규
2026.11.03
Republican Party
91%
Democratic Party
10%
신규
신규
2026.11.03
Republican Party
$67 거래량
91%
Democratic Party
$5,603 거래량
10%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Missouri’s 3rd congressional district carries an R+10 partisan voting index and has been rated Solid Republican or Safe Republican by Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball. Incumbent Republican Bob Onder, first elected in 2024, is seeking re-election in a seat that encompasses St. Charles County and extends westward, where Republican candidates have consistently prevailed by double-digit margins. Democratic primary contenders Tommy Holstein, Bethany Mann, and Paul Wilson face an August 4, 2026 filing and primary calendar that offers limited time for a unified challenge. Trader consensus at 90.5% Republican reflects these structural factors, though late developments such as a major scandal, health issue, or national political shift could still alter the outcome before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
거래량
$5,670종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Missouri’s 3rd congressional district carries an R+10 partisan voting index and has been rated Solid Republican or Safe Republican by Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball. Incumbent Republican Bob Onder, first elected in 2024, is seeking re-election in a seat that encompasses St. Charles County and extends westward, where Republican candidates have consistently prevailed by double-digit margins. Democratic primary contenders Tommy Holstein, Bethany Mann, and Paul Wilson face an August 4, 2026 filing and primary calendar that offers limited time for a unified challenge. Trader consensus at 90.5% Republican reflects these structural factors, though late developments such as a major scandal, health issue, or national political shift could still alter the outcome before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$5,670종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Missouri’s 3rd congressional district carries an R+10 partisan voting index and has been rated Solid Republican or Safe Republican by Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball. Incumbent Republican Bob Onder, first elected in 2024, is seeking re-election in a seat that encompasses St. Charles County and extends westward, where Republican candidates have consistently prevailed by double-digit margins. Democratic primary contenders Tommy Holstein, Bethany Mann, and Paul Wilson face an August 4, 2026 filing and primary calendar that offers limited time for a unified challenge. Trader consensus at 90.5% Republican reflects these structural factors, though late developments such as a major scandal, health issue, or national political shift could still alter the outcome before the November 3 general election.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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