Arizona's 9th congressional district maintains a strong Republican lean, reflected in its R+15 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent double-digit margins for GOP candidates in recent cycles. Incumbent Representative Paul Gosar is seeking re-election with no significant primary opposition, while Democratic primary contenders remain limited and underfunded. Forecasters across outlets rate the seat as solid or safe Republican ahead of the July 21 primaries and November general election. Trader consensus pricing aligns with these structural factors and the absence of recent polling shifts or notable campaign developments that would alter the district's partisan balance. A Democratic victory would require an unusually large swing in voter turnout or national conditions not currently evident.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트신규
신규
2026.11.03
Republican Party
92%
Democratic Party
8%
신규
신규
2026.11.03
Republican Party
$2,873 거래량
92%
Democratic Party
$3,996 거래량
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Arizona's 9th congressional district maintains a strong Republican lean, reflected in its R+15 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent double-digit margins for GOP candidates in recent cycles. Incumbent Representative Paul Gosar is seeking re-election with no significant primary opposition, while Democratic primary contenders remain limited and underfunded. Forecasters across outlets rate the seat as solid or safe Republican ahead of the July 21 primaries and November general election. Trader consensus pricing aligns with these structural factors and the absence of recent polling shifts or notable campaign developments that would alter the district's partisan balance. A Democratic victory would require an unusually large swing in voter turnout or national conditions not currently evident.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
거래량
$6,869종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Arizona's 9th congressional district maintains a strong Republican lean, reflected in its R+15 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent double-digit margins for GOP candidates in recent cycles. Incumbent Representative Paul Gosar is seeking re-election with no significant primary opposition, while Democratic primary contenders remain limited and underfunded. Forecasters across outlets rate the seat as solid or safe Republican ahead of the July 21 primaries and November general election. Trader consensus pricing aligns with these structural factors and the absence of recent polling shifts or notable campaign developments that would alter the district's partisan balance. A Democratic victory would require an unusually large swing in voter turnout or national conditions not currently evident.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$6,869종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Arizona's 9th congressional district maintains a strong Republican lean, reflected in its R+15 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent double-digit margins for GOP candidates in recent cycles. Incumbent Representative Paul Gosar is seeking re-election with no significant primary opposition, while Democratic primary contenders remain limited and underfunded. Forecasters across outlets rate the seat as solid or safe Republican ahead of the July 21 primaries and November general election. Trader consensus pricing aligns with these structural factors and the absence of recent polling shifts or notable campaign developments that would alter the district's partisan balance. A Democratic victory would require an unusually large swing in voter turnout or national conditions not currently evident.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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